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台湾新北市 COVID-19 大流行前后自杀未遂和自杀死亡趋势:一项中断时间序列分析。

Trends in suicide attempts and suicide deaths before and during the COVID-19 pandemic in New Taipei City, Taiwan: an interrupted time-series analysis.

机构信息

Graduate Institute of Behavioral Sciences, Chang Gung University, Taoyuan, Taiwan.

Department of Psychiatry, Chang Gung Memorial Hospital at Linkou, Taoyuan, Taiwan.

出版信息

Psychol Med. 2023 Jul;53(10):4364-4372. doi: 10.1017/S0033291722001155. Epub 2022 Apr 28.

Abstract

BACKGROUND

The coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) pandemic is an unprecedented global health crisis that may cause mental health problems and heighten suicide risk. We investigated the impact of the COVID-19 pandemic on trends in suicide attempts and suicide deaths in New Taipei City, Taiwan.

METHODS

The current study used the official daily data on suicide attempts and deaths in New Taipei City, Taiwan (4 million inhabitants) between 2015 and 2020 from the Taiwan National Suicide Prevention Reporting System. Interrupted time-series (ITS) analyses with parameters corrected by the estimated autocorrelations were applied on weekly aggregated data to examine whether the suicide trends during the early COVID-19 pandemic (late January to July 2020) deviated from previous trends (January 2015 to late January 2020). The impact due to the suicide prevention policy change was also examined (since August 2020).

RESULTS

ITS analyses revealed no significant increases in both mean and trend on weekly suicide deaths during the COVID-19 pandemic and after the policy change. In contrast, there was a significant increasing trend in weekly suicide attempts since the COVID-19 outbreak at the rate of 1.54 attempts per week (95% confidence interval 0.49-2.60; = 0.004). Sex difference analysis revealed that, however, this increasing trend was observed only in females not in males.

CONCLUSIONS

The COVID-19 pandemic has different impacts on suicides attempts and deaths during the early pandemic in New Taipei City, Taiwan. The COVID-19 outbreak drastically increased the trend of suicide attempts. In contrast, the number of suicide deaths had remained constant in the investigated periods.

摘要

背景

2019 年冠状病毒病(COVID-19)大流行是一场前所未有的全球卫生危机,可能导致心理健康问题并增加自杀风险。我们调查了 COVID-19 大流行对台湾新北市自杀未遂和自杀死亡趋势的影响。

方法

本研究使用了台湾国家自杀预防报告系统(台湾新北市,400 万居民)2015 年至 2020 年自杀未遂和死亡的官方每日数据。使用参数校正估计自相关的中断时间序列(ITS)分析对每周汇总数据进行分析,以检查 COVID-19 大流行早期(2020 年 1 月下旬至 7 月)的自杀趋势是否偏离了之前的趋势(2015 年 1 月至 2020 年 1 月下旬)。还检查了自杀预防政策变化的影响(自 2020 年 8 月起)。

结果

ITS 分析显示,在 COVID-19 大流行期间和政策变化后,每周自杀死亡的平均值和趋势均无显着增加。相比之下,自 COVID-19 爆发以来,每周自杀未遂的趋势呈显着上升趋势,每周增加 1.54 次(95%置信区间 0.49-2.60; = 0.004)。性别差异分析表明,然而,这种上升趋势仅在女性中观察到,而在男性中则没有。

结论

COVID-19 大流行对台湾新北市 COVID-19 大流行早期的自杀未遂和死亡产生了不同的影响。COVID-19 爆发急剧增加了自杀未遂的趋势。相比之下,在所调查的时间段内,自杀死亡人数保持不变。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/2a33/10388328/a84dcca5f7e0/S0033291722001155_fig1.jpg

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