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开发和验证老年患者利奈唑胺诱导血小板减少症的风险预测模型。

Development and validation of a risk prediction model for linezolid-induced thrombocytopenia in elderly patients.

机构信息

Department of Pharmacy, Zhongshan Hospital FuDan Univeristy, Shanghai, China.

Shanghai University of Medicine & Health Sciences, Shanghai, China.

出版信息

Eur J Hosp Pharm. 2024 Feb 22;31(2):94-100. doi: 10.1136/ejhpharm-2022-003258.

Abstract

OBJECTIVES

Linezolid is the first oxazolidinone antimicrobial agent developed for treating multi-drug-resistant gram-positive bacterial infections. The study aimed to investigate the risk factors of linezolid (LI)-induced thrombocytopenia (LI-TP) and to develop and validate a risk prediction model to identify elderly patients at high risk of developing LI-TP during linezolid therapy.

METHODS

A retrospective cohort study was performed at Zhongshan Hospital, FuDan University, China. The study involved elderly Chinese patients aged ≥65 years administered with linezolid (600 mg) twice a day between January 2015 and April 2021. We collected the patients' clinical characteristics and demographic data from electronic medical records, and compared the differences between LI-TP patients and those who had not developed thrombocytopenia (NO-TP) after linezolid treatment. The risk prediction model was developed based on the regression coefficient generated from logistic regression model.

RESULTS

A total of 343 inpatients were enrolled from January 2015 to August 2020 and were used as the training set. Among them, 67 (19.5%) developed LI-TP. Multivariate logistic regression analysis revealed that baseline platelet counts <150×10·L (odds ratio (OR)=3.576; p<0.001), age ≥75 years (OR=2.258; p=0.009), estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR <60 mL·(min·1.73 m2) (OR=2.553; p=0.002), duration of linezolid therapy ≥10 d (OR=3.218; p<0.001), intensive care unit (ICU) admittance (OR=2.682; p=0.004), concomitant piperacillin-tazobactam (OR=3.863; p=0.006) were independent risk factors for LI-TP in elderly patients. The LI-TP risk prediction model was established using a scoring method based on the regression coefficient and exhibited a good discriminative power, with an area under the curve (AUC) of 0.795 (95% confidence interval (CI) 0.740 to 0.851) and 0.849 (95% CI 0.760 to 0.939) in the training set (n=343) and validation set (n=90) respectively.

CONCLUSIONS

These findings indicate that duration of linezolid therapy, age, eGFR, ICU admittance, baseline platelet counts, concomitant piperacillin-tazobactam were significantly associated with LI-TP in elderly patients. A risk prediction model based on these risk factors showed a good discriminative performance and may be useful for clinicians to identify patients at high risk of developing LI-TP.

摘要

目的

利奈唑胺是首个用于治疗多重耐药革兰阳性菌感染的噁唑烷酮类抗菌药物。本研究旨在探讨利奈唑胺(LI)诱导血小板减少症(LI-TP)的危险因素,并建立和验证一个风险预测模型,以识别接受利奈唑胺治疗的老年患者中发生 LI-TP 的高危人群。

方法

本研究为中国复旦大学中山医院的回顾性队列研究。研究纳入了 2015 年 1 月至 2021 年 4 月期间接受利奈唑胺(600mg,每日两次)治疗的年龄≥65 岁的中国老年患者。我们从电子病历中收集了患者的临床特征和人口统计学数据,并比较了 LI-TP 患者和利奈唑胺治疗后未发生血小板减少症(NO-TP)患者之间的差异。风险预测模型是基于逻辑回归模型生成的回归系数建立的。

结果

本研究共纳入了 2015 年 1 月至 2020 年 8 月期间的 343 名住院患者作为训练集,其中 67 例(19.5%)发生了 LI-TP。多变量逻辑回归分析显示,基线血小板计数<150×10·L(比值比(OR)=3.576;p<0.001)、年龄≥75 岁(OR=2.258;p=0.009)、估计肾小球滤过率(eGFR<60 mL·(min·1.73 m2)(OR=2.553;p=0.002)、利奈唑胺治疗时间≥10d(OR=3.218;p<0.001)、入住重症监护病房(ICU)(OR=2.682;p=0.004)、同时使用哌拉西林他唑巴坦(OR=3.863;p=0.006)是老年患者发生 LI-TP 的独立危险因素。LI-TP 风险预测模型是基于回归系数的评分方法建立的,具有良好的判别能力,在训练集(n=343)和验证集(n=90)中的曲线下面积(AUC)分别为 0.795(95%置信区间(CI)0.740 至 0.851)和 0.849(95% CI 0.760 至 0.939)。

结论

这些发现表明,利奈唑胺治疗时间、年龄、eGFR、入住 ICU、基线血小板计数和同时使用哌拉西林他唑巴坦与老年患者发生 LI-TP 显著相关。基于这些危险因素的风险预测模型具有良好的判别性能,可能有助于临床医生识别发生 LI-TP 的高危患者。

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