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埃塞俄比亚南部奥乔杰流域的土地利用与土地覆盖变化及其驱动因素分析

Land use and land cover change, and analysis of its drivers in Ojoje watershed, Southern Ethiopia.

作者信息

Mariye Mehari, Jianhua Li, Maryo Melesse

机构信息

Tongji University, College of Environmental Science & Engineering, Shanghai, 200092, China.

Ethiopian Biodiversity Institute, Home-based at kotebe Metropolitan University, Addis Ababa, Ethiopia.

出版信息

Heliyon. 2022 Apr 12;8(4):e09267. doi: 10.1016/j.heliyon.2022.e09267. eCollection 2022 Apr.

Abstract

There have been incredible changes that have taken place in the land use pattern globally over the last 50 years, which resulted from environmental degradation and climate change impacts. Quantitative analysis of the LULC dynamics helps in land-use management and ecosystem degradation at large. The study was conducted in the Doyogena district, southern Ethiopia to identify LULC change dynamics, and analyze the driving forces using combined approaches: remote sensing, field observations, in-depth household interviews, key informants, and Focus Group Discussions (FGDs). A supervised maximum likelihood image cataloging method was employed in conjunction with feature extraction of satellite images to categorize and map LULC classes of the study area. Satellite image handing out, classification technique, and remotely sensed data were processed using ArcGIS map 10.6, and ERDAS Imagine 2014. Common LULC categories were identified, and a change analysis was conducted. Accordingly, seven LULC categories were determined. The result showed a considerable decline in forestland from 1756.7 ha (38.8%) in 1973 to 71.6 ha (1.6%) in 2020. Similarly, wetlands have declined successively from 16.8 in 2000-2010 to 6.3 in 1986-2020 ha/year over the last three and half decades respectively. On the other hand, cropland has increased from 34.1% in 1986-2000 to 46.3% between 1986-2020, which is linked to population growth, settlement, and expansion of farmlands. The study watershed has experienced a considerable change in LULC change over the last >3 decades. Hence, local and national regimes should implement sustainable land planning, management strategies including integrated land- use planning, and policy reform into development projects and programs.

摘要

在过去50年里,全球土地利用模式发生了惊人的变化,这是环境退化和气候变化影响所致。土地利用/土地覆盖(LULC)动态的定量分析有助于大规模的土地利用管理和生态系统退化研究。该研究在埃塞俄比亚南部的多约格纳区进行,以确定LULC变化动态,并使用遥感、实地观察、深入的家庭访谈、关键信息提供者和焦点小组讨论(FGD)等综合方法分析驱动因素。采用监督最大似然图像分类方法结合卫星图像特征提取对研究区域的LULC类别进行分类和制图。使用ArcGIS地图10.6和ERDAS Imagine 2014对卫星图像进行处理、分类技术和遥感数据。确定了常见的LULC类别,并进行了变化分析。据此,确定了七个LULC类别。结果显示,林地面积从1973年的1756.7公顷(38.8%)大幅下降到2020年的71.6公顷(1.6%)。同样,在过去三十五年中,湿地面积分别从2000 - 2010年的16.8公顷/年相继下降到1986 - 2020年的6.3公顷/年。另一方面,耕地面积从1986 - 2000年的34.1%增加到1986 - 2020年的46.3%,这与人口增长、定居点和农田扩张有关。在过去三十多年里,研究流域的LULC变化相当大。因此,地方和国家政权应实施可持续土地规划、包括综合土地利用规划在内的管理战略,以及将政策改革纳入发展项目和计划。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/dec6/9035721/8d4f5ac4f75b/gr1.jpg

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