Division of Emergency and Critical Care Medicine, Department of Neurosurgery, Beijing Tiantan Hospital, Capital Medical University, No.119 South Fourth Ring West Road, Fengtai District, Beijing, 100070, China.
Neurosurg Rev. 2022 Aug;45(4):2811-2822. doi: 10.1007/s10143-022-01795-3. Epub 2022 Apr 29.
Early prediction of in-hospital mortality in aneurysmal subarachnoid hemorrhage (aSAH) is essential for the optimal management of these patients. Recently, a retrospective cohort observation has reported that the rate-pressure product (RPP, the product of systolic blood pressure and heart rate), an objective and easily calculated bedside index of cardiac hemodynamics, was predictively associated with in-hospital mortality following traumatic brain injury. We thus wondered whether this finding could also be generalized to aSAH patients. The current study aimed to examine the association of RPP at the time of emergency room (ER) admission with in-hospital mortality and its predictive performance among aSAH patients. We retrospectively included 515 aSAH patients who had been admitted to our ER between 2016 and 2020. Their baseline heart rate and systolic blood pressure at ER presentation were extracted for the calculation of the admission RPP. Meanwhile, we collected relevant clinical, laboratory, and neuroimaging data. Then, these data including the admission RPP were examined by univariate and multivariate analyses to identify independent predictors of hospital mortality. Eventually, continuous and ordinal variables were selected from those independent predictors, and the performance of these selected predictors was further evaluated and compared based on receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve analyzes. We identified both low (< 10,000; adjusted odds ratio (OR) 3.49, 95% CI 1.93-6.29, p < 0.001) and high (> 15,000; adjusted OR 8.42, 95% CI 4.16-17.06, p < 0.001) RPP on ER admission to be independently associated with in-hospital mortality after aSAH. Furthermore, after centering the admission RPP by its median, the area under its ROC curve (0.761, 95% CI 0.722-0.798, p < 0.001) was found to be statistically superior to any of the other independent predictors included in the ROC analyzes (all p < 0.01). In light of the predictive superiority of the admission RPP, as well as its objectivity and easy accessibility, it is indeed a potentially more applicable predictor for in-hospital death in aSAH patients.
急性蛛网膜下腔出血(aSAH)患者的院内死亡率的早期预测对于这些患者的最佳管理至关重要。最近,一项回顾性队列观察报告称,心率-收缩压乘积(RPP,收缩压和心率的乘积)是一种客观且易于计算的心脏血液动力学床边指标,与创伤性脑损伤后的院内死亡率相关。因此,我们想知道这一发现是否也可以推广到 aSAH 患者。本研究旨在探讨急诊室(ER)就诊时 RPP 与 aSAH 患者院内死亡率的相关性及其预测性能。我们回顾性纳入了 2016 年至 2020 年期间在我院 ER 就诊的 515 例 aSAH 患者。从他们在 ER 就诊时的基本心率和收缩压中提取了入院时的 RPP。同时,我们收集了相关的临床、实验室和神经影像学数据。然后,通过单变量和多变量分析来检查这些数据,包括入院时的 RPP,以确定与住院死亡率相关的独立预测因素。最终,从这些独立预测因素中选择了连续和有序变量,并进一步根据接受者操作特征(ROC)曲线分析来评估和比较这些选定预测因素的性能。我们发现入院时的 RPP 较低(<10000;调整后的比值比(OR)为 3.49,95%CI 为 1.93-6.29,p<0.001)和较高(>15000;调整后的 OR 为 8.42,95%CI 为 4.16-17.06,p<0.001)与 aSAH 后的院内死亡率独立相关。此外,在将入院时的 RPP 以中位数为中心后,ROC 曲线下的面积(0.761,95%CI 0.722-0.798,p<0.001)发现明显优于 ROC 分析中包含的任何其他独立预测因素(均 p<0.01)。鉴于入院时 RPP 的预测优势,以及其客观性和易于获取性,它确实是 aSAH 患者院内死亡的一个更具应用潜力的预测因素。