Department of Surgery, School of Medicine and Public Health, University of Wisconsin, Madison, WI, USA.
Department of Dermatology, School of Medicine and Public Health, University of Wisconsin, Madison, WI, USA.
Ann Surg Oncol. 2022 Sep;29(9):5925-5932. doi: 10.1245/s10434-022-11725-8. Epub 2022 May 3.
Cutaneous melanoma survivors are at increased risk of a second primary melanoma. Valid estimates facilitate counseling on recommended surveillance after a melanoma diagnosis. However, most estimates of 5- and 10-year incidences of second melanomas are from older cohorts and/or single institutions. This study aimed to determine the 5- and 10-year incidences of second primary cutaneous melanomas in survivors of cutaneous melanoma.
The Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results (SEER) database was used to identify cases of non-metastatic, first cutaneous melanoma diagnosed between 1998 and 2012 (follow-up through December 2017). Eligible survivors were 18 years old or older who underwent surgery as a treatment component. Kaplan-Meier survival analysis was used to estimate 5- and 10-year incidences of a second melanoma, excluding new diagnoses within 3 months after the initial diagnosis. Patients were censored at second melanoma diagnosis, death, or 10-years, whichever was first. Multivariable Cox regression analysis was used to identify factors associated with a second cutaneous melanoma diagnosis.
The study cohort comprised 152,811 patients. The incidence of second primary melanoma was 3.9% at 5 years (95% confidence interval [CI], 3.8-4.0%) and 6.7% at 10 years (95% CI, 6.6-6.9%). Older age, male sex, and regional disease were associated with increased risk of a second primary melanoma diagnosis.
Melanoma survivors are at risk of a second primary melanoma, making routine skin surveillance part of recommended follow-up evaluation. A higher incidence of second melanoma with older age and regional disease at presentation is possibly explained by increased health care use providing more diagnostic opportunities, whereas male sex may represent an inherent risk factor.
皮肤黑色素瘤幸存者发生第二原发性黑色素瘤的风险增加。有效的评估有助于在黑色素瘤诊断后为推荐的监测提供咨询。然而,大多数 5 年和 10 年第二黑色素瘤发生率的估计值来自于较老的队列和/或单一机构。本研究旨在确定皮肤黑色素瘤幸存者中第二原发性皮肤黑色素瘤的 5 年和 10 年发生率。
利用监测、流行病学和最终结果(SEER)数据库,确定 1998 年至 2012 年间诊断的非转移性、第一原发性皮肤黑色素瘤病例(随访至 2017 年 12 月)。符合条件的幸存者为接受手术治疗的 18 岁或以上的患者。采用 Kaplan-Meier 生存分析估计 5 年和 10 年第二原发性黑色素瘤的发生率,排除初始诊断后 3 个月内的新诊断。患者在第二原发性黑色素瘤诊断、死亡或 10 年内(以先发生者为准)被截尾。多变量 Cox 回归分析用于识别与第二原发性皮肤黑色素瘤诊断相关的因素。
研究队列包括 152811 例患者。5 年时第二原发性黑色素瘤的发生率为 3.9%(95%置信区间[CI],3.8-4.0%),10 年时为 6.7%(95%CI,6.6-6.9%)。年龄较大、男性和区域性疾病与第二原发性黑色素瘤诊断风险增加相关。
黑色素瘤幸存者有发生第二原发性黑色素瘤的风险,因此常规皮肤监测是推荐的随访评估的一部分。随着年龄的增长和首发时的区域性疾病,第二黑色素瘤的发生率更高,这可能是由于增加了医疗保健的使用,提供了更多的诊断机会,而男性可能代表了一个内在的危险因素。