Faramarzi Ahmad, Javan-Noughabi Javad, Mousavi Sayed Ali, Bahrami Asl Farshad, Shabanikiya Hamidreza
Department of Health Management and Economics, School of Public Health Urmia University of Medical Sciences Urmia Iran.
Social Determinants of Health Research Center Mashhad University of Medical Sciences Mashhad Iran.
Health Sci Rep. 2022 May 5;5(3):e628. doi: 10.1002/hsr2.628. eCollection 2022 May.
The COVID-19 pandemic poses an extraordinary threat to global public health. We designed an ecological study to explore the association between socioeconomic factors and the COVID-19 outcomes in 184 countries, using the geographic map and multilevel regression models.
We conducted a cross-sectional ecological study in 184 countries. We performed regression analysis to assess the association of various socioeconomic variables with COVID-19 outcomes in 184 countries, using ordinary least squares and multilevel modeling analysis. We performed two-level analyses with countries at Level 1 and geographical regions at Level 2 in multilevel modeling analysis, using the same set of predictor variables used in ordinary least squares.
There was a significant relationship between COVID-19 cases rate (Log) per 100,000 inhabitants-day at risk with human development index (HDI), percentage of the urban population, unemployment, and cardiovascular disease prevalence. The results displayed that the variances are varied between Level 1 (country level) and Level 2 (World Health Organization [WHO] regions), meaning that the geographic distribution represented a proportion of the changes in the COVID-19 outcomes.
The study suggests that in addition to the socioeconomic status affects the COVID-19 outcomes, countries' geographical location makes a part of changes in outcomes of diseases. Therefore, health policy-makers could overcome morbidity and mortality in COVID-19 by controlling the socioeconomics factors.
新冠疫情对全球公共卫生构成了巨大威胁。我们设计了一项生态研究,利用地理地图和多水平回归模型,探究184个国家社会经济因素与新冠疫情结果之间的关联。
我们在184个国家开展了一项横断面生态研究。我们进行回归分析,采用普通最小二乘法和多水平建模分析,评估184个国家各种社会经济变量与新冠疫情结果之间的关联。在多水平建模分析中,我们在第1级(国家层面)和第2级(地理区域层面)进行两级分析,使用与普通最小二乘法相同的一组预测变量。
每10万居民每日风险人群中的新冠病例率(对数)与人类发展指数(HDI)、城市人口百分比、失业率和心血管疾病患病率之间存在显著关系。结果显示,第1级(国家层面)和第2级(世界卫生组织[WHO]区域)之间的方差各不相同,这意味着地理分布代表了新冠疫情结果变化的一部分。
该研究表明,除了社会经济状况会影响新冠疫情结果外,国家的地理位置也会导致疾病结果出现部分变化。因此,卫生政策制定者可以通过控制社会经济因素来降低新冠疫情的发病率和死亡率。