Department of Psychology, Arizona State University.
Psychol Methods. 2023 Dec;28(6):1223-1241. doi: 10.1037/met0000457. Epub 2022 May 19.
When multiple hypothesis tests are conducted, the familywise Type I error probability correspondingly increases. Various multiple test procedures (MTPs) have been developed, which generally aim to control the familywise Type I error rate at the desired level. However, although multiplicity is frequently discussed in the ANOVA literature and MTPs are correspondingly employed, the issue has received considerably little attention in the regression literature and it is rare to see MTPs employed empirically. The present aims are three-fold. First, within the eclectic uses of multiple regression, specific situations are delineated wherein adjusting for multiplicity may be most relevant. Second, the performance of ten MTPs amenable to regression is investigated via familywise Type I error control, statistical power, and, where appropriate, false discovery rate, simultaneous confidence interval coverage and width. Although methodologists may anticipate general patterns, the focus is on the magnitude of error inflation and the size of the differences among methods under plausible scenarios. Third, perspectives from across the scientific literature are discussed, which shed light on contextual factors to consider when evaluating whether multiplicity adjustment is advantageous. Results indicated that multiple testing can be problematic, even in nonextreme situations where multiplicity consequences may not be immediately expected. Results pointed toward several effective, balanced, MTPs, particularly those that accommodate correlated parameters. Importantly, the goal is not to universally recommend MTPs for all regression models, but. rather to identify a set of circumstances wherein multiplicity is most relevant, evaluate MTPs, and integrate diverse perspectives that suggest multiplicity adjustment or alternate solutions. (PsycInfo Database Record (c) 2024 APA, all rights reserved).
当进行多个假设检验时,相应地会增加总体Ⅰ型错误概率。已经开发了各种多重检验程序(MTP),这些程序通常旨在将总体Ⅰ型错误率控制在所需水平。然而,尽管方差分析文献中经常讨论多重性,并且相应地采用了 MTP,但回归文献中对该问题的关注甚少,很少看到经验上采用 MTP。本研究旨在达到三个目标。首先,在多元回归的折衷使用中,确定了在哪些特定情况下调整多重性可能最为相关。其次,通过总体Ⅰ型错误控制、统计功效以及在适当情况下的错误发现率、同时置信区间覆盖率和宽度,研究了十种适用于回归的 MTP 的性能。尽管方法学家可能会预期一般模式,但重点是在合理情况下,错误膨胀的程度以及方法之间的差异大小。第三,讨论了来自整个科学文献的观点,这些观点阐明了在评估是否调整多重性有利时需要考虑的上下文因素。结果表明,即使在多重性后果可能不会立即预期的非极端情况下,多重检验也可能存在问题。结果指出了几种有效、平衡的 MTP,特别是那些适应相关参数的 MTP。重要的是,目标不是普遍推荐 MTP 用于所有回归模型,而是确定多重性最相关的情况,评估 MTP,并整合各种观点,这些观点表明需要调整多重性或采用替代解决方案。(PsycInfo 数据库记录(c)2024 APA,保留所有权利)。