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短期暴露于二氧化氮与中国深圳地区缺血性脑卒中发病风险:季节和温度的修饰作用

Short-term exposure to nitrogen dioxide and ischemic stroke incidence in Shenzhen, China: Modification effects by season and temperature.

机构信息

Department of Epidemiology and Biostatistics, School of Public Health, Tongji Medical College, Huazhong University of Science and Technology, 13 Hangkong Rd, Wuhan 430030, Hubei, China.

Department of Environment and Health, Shenzhen Center for Disease Control and Prevention, 8 Longyuan Rd, Shenzhen 518055, Guangdong, China.

出版信息

Ecotoxicol Environ Saf. 2022 Jul 1;239:113644. doi: 10.1016/j.ecoenv.2022.113644. Epub 2022 May 16.

Abstract

BACKGROUND AND OBJECTIVES

China has experienced a serious public health burden because of the increased incidence of ischemic stroke. Evidence describing the association between short-term exposure to nitrogen dioxide (NO) and ischemic stroke morbidity is limited, and few studies have focused on the effects of season and temperature. This study aimed to evaluate the acute effects of NO on ischemic stroke incidence in Shenzhen, a southeastern city of China, considering the modified effects of season and temperature.

METHODS

A time-stratified case-crossover study was conducted between 2003 and 2014 among 98,482 ischemic stroke hospitalizations. Conditional quasi-Poisson regression was used to estimate the percentage changes in ischemic stroke admissions in relation to each 10 μg/m increment in NO.

RESULTS

NO was positively associated with ischemic stroke onset over the full year, as well as in the cold season (November through April) and on cold days (ambient temperature≤median temperature), with significant single-day effects within 3 days after the exposure, and significant cumulative effects within the delayed five days. The maximum percentage changes were obtained at lag0-5, with 1.81% (95% confidence interval (CI) was 0.86-2.76%) over the full year, 2.75% (1.48-4.03%) in the cold season, and 3.04% (1.74-4.35%) on cold days. Additionally, the effects of exposure were found to be greater in males and people with higher education, and were lasting longer in subgroups of older individuals.

CONCLUSIONS

Our findings provide evidence that reductions in NO levels might decrease ischemic stroke morbidity, and enhance the understanding of ischemic stroke occurrence associated with NO modified by season and temperature.

摘要

背景与目的

中国的缺血性脑卒中发病率不断上升,由此导致了严重的公共卫生负担。目前有关短期暴露于二氧化氮(NO)与缺血性脑卒中发病率之间关联的证据有限,且鲜有研究关注季节和温度的影响。本研究旨在评估 NO 对中国东南部城市深圳缺血性脑卒中发病率的急性影响,并考虑季节和温度的修正效应。

方法

我们开展了一项 2003 年至 2014 年期间的时间分层病例交叉研究,共纳入 98482 例缺血性脑卒中住院患者。采用条件准泊松回归模型,估计了 NO 每增加 10μg/m 时缺血性脑卒中住院人数的百分比变化。

结果

NO 与全年、寒冷季节(11 月至 4 月)以及寒冷日(环境温度≤中值温度)的缺血性脑卒中发病呈正相关,在暴露后 3 天内存在明显的单日效应,在滞后 5 天内存在显著的累积效应。最大百分比变化出现在滞后 0-5 天,全年、寒冷季节和寒冷日的百分比变化分别为 1.81%(95%置信区间为 0.86%-2.76%)、2.75%(1.48%-4.03%)和 3.04%(1.74%-4.35%)。此外,我们发现男性和受教育程度较高的人群的暴露效应更大,且在年龄较大的亚组中效应持续时间更长。

结论

本研究结果提示降低 NO 水平可能会降低缺血性脑卒中的发病率,并增进对受季节和温度修正的 NO 与缺血性脑卒中发生之间关联的理解。

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