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综合战略规划与多准则决策框架及其在农业水管理中的应用。

Integrated strategic planning and multi-criteria decision-making framework with its application to agricultural water management.

机构信息

Department of Irrigation and Reclamation Engineering, Faculty of Agricultural Engineering and Technology, College of Agriculture and Natural Resources, University of Tehran, Karaj, 3158777871, Tehran, Iran.

Department of Geography, University of California, Santa Barbara, CA, 93106, USA.

出版信息

Sci Rep. 2022 May 19;12(1):8406. doi: 10.1038/s41598-022-12194-5.

Abstract

Sustainable water resources management involves social, economic, environmental, water use, and resources factors. This study proposes a new framework of strategic planning with multi-criteria decision-making to develop sustainable water management alternatives for large scale water resources systems. A fuzzy multi-criteria decision-making model is developed to rank regional management alternatives for agricultural water management considering water-resources sustainability criteria. The decision-making model combines hierarchical analysis and the fuzzy Technique for Order of Preference by Similarity to Ideal Solution (TOPSIS). The management alternatives were presented spatially in the form of zoning maps at the level of irrigation zones of the study area. The results show that the irrigation management zone No.3 (alternative A3) was ranked first based on agricultural water demand and supply management in five among seven available scenarios, in which the scenarios represents a possible combination of weights assigned to the weighing criteria. Specifically, the results show that irrigation management zone No.3 (alternative A3) achieved the best ranking values of 0.151, 0.169, 0.152, 0.174 and 0.164 with respect to scenarios 1, 4, 5, 6 and 7, respectively. However, irrigation management zone No.2 (alternative A2) achieved the best values of 0.152 and 0.150 with respect to the second and third scenarios, respectively. The model results identify the best management alternatives for agricultural water management in large-scale irrigation and drainage networks.

摘要

可持续水资源管理涉及社会、经济、环境、用水和资源等因素。本研究提出了一个新的战略规划框架,结合多准则决策,为大规模水资源系统开发可持续水资源管理方案。本文建立了一个模糊多准则决策模型,用于对农业水资源管理的区域管理方案进行排序,考虑到水资源可持续性准则。决策模型结合层次分析法和逼近理想解排序法(TOPSIS)。管理方案以研究区域灌溉区的分区图形式在空间上呈现。结果表明,在七种可能的权重分配方案组合中,基于农业需水和供水管理,有五个方案中灌溉管理区 3(方案 A3)排名第一。具体而言,方案 1、4、5、6 和 7 分别对应灌溉管理区 3(方案 A3)排名值为 0.151、0.169、0.152、0.174 和 0.164,而灌溉管理区 2(方案 A2)在第二和第三方案中分别取得了最佳值 0.152 和 0.150。模型结果确定了大规模灌溉排水网络中农业水资源管理的最佳管理方案。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/9539/9120493/9805405c9634/41598_2022_12194_Fig1_HTML.jpg

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