Wilson R, Crouch E A
Science. 1987 Apr 17;236(4799):267-70. doi: 10.1126/science.3563505.
Risk assessment is presented as a way of examining risks so that they may be better avoided, reduced, or otherwise managed. Risk implies uncertainty, so that risk assessment is largely concerned with uncertainty and hence with a concept of probability that is hard to grasp. The results of even the simplest risk assessments need to be compared with similar assessments of commonplace situations to give them some meaning. We compare and contrast some risk estimates to display their similarities and differences.
风险评估是一种审视风险的方式，以便更好地避免、降低或进行其他方式的管理。风险意味着不确定性，因此风险评估很大程度上关注不确定性，进而涉及一个难以理解的概率概念。即使是最简单的风险评估结果，也需要与常见情况的类似评估进行比较，才能使其具有一定意义。我们对一些风险估计进行比较和对比，以展示它们的异同。
