Department of Pharmacy, Beijing Tiantan Hospital, Capital Medical University, Beijing, China.
China Center for Health Economic Research, Peking University, Beijing, China.
Adv Ther. 2022 Jul;39(7):3334-3346. doi: 10.1007/s12325-022-02185-3. Epub 2022 May 29.
INTRODUCTION: This study aimed to evaluate the cost-effectiveness of donafenib compared to sorafenib and lenvatinib as first-line treatments for patients with advanced hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) in China. METHODS: A partitioned survival model was developed to estimate the clinical and economic outcomes of donafenib, sorafenib, and lenvatinib for advanced HCC. The key clinical data of these targeted therapies were assessed through a network meta-analysis. The cost and health utilities were mainly collected from the literature. Quality-adjusted life years (QALYs), costs, and incremental cost-effectiveness ratios (ICER) were the primary outcomes. Model uncertainty was tested with one-way sensitivity analyses, scenario analyses, and probabilistic sensitivity analyses (PSA). RESULTS: For health outcomes, donafenib gained the highest QALYs among the three treatments, followed by lenvatinib and sorafenib (1.106, 0.999, and 0.915 QALYs, respectively). For cost, donafenib was the cheapest option, followed by sorafenib and lenvatinib ($42,116, $43,193, and $44,261). The PSA indicated that the probability of being cost-effective for donafenib was 86.98% and 93.56% when the willingness-to-pay thresholds were one and three times the gross domestic product per capita in China, respectively. The one-way sensitivity analyses and scenario analyses also found the results to be robust. CONCLUSION: Compared to sorafenib and lenvatinib, donafenib was likely to be a cost-effective treatment with the highest QALYs and the lowest cost for patients with advanced HCC in China.
简介:本研究旨在评估多纳非尼相对于索拉非尼和仑伐替尼作为中国晚期肝细胞癌(HCC)患者一线治疗的成本效益。
方法:采用分割生存模型评估多纳非尼、索拉非尼和仑伐替尼治疗晚期 HCC 的临床和经济结局。通过网络荟萃分析评估这些靶向治疗的关键临床数据。成本和健康效用主要从文献中收集。质量调整生命年(QALY)、成本和增量成本效益比(ICER)是主要结局。通过单因素敏感性分析、情景分析和概率敏感性分析(PSA)测试模型不确定性。
结果:在健康结果方面,三种治疗方法中,多纳非尼获得的 QALY 最高,其次是仑伐替尼和索拉非尼(1.106、0.999 和 0.915 QALY)。在成本方面,多纳非尼是最便宜的选择,其次是索拉非尼和仑伐替尼(42116 美元、43193 美元和 44261 美元)。PSA 表明,当中国的人均国内生产总值(GDP)支付意愿阈值分别为 1 倍和 3 倍时,多纳非尼的成本效益概率分别为 86.98%和 93.56%。单因素敏感性分析和情景分析也发现结果是稳健的。
结论:与索拉非尼和仑伐替尼相比,多纳非尼可能是一种具有成本效益的治疗方法,可为中国晚期 HCC 患者提供最高的 QALY 和最低的成本。
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