Stanford Stroke Center Stanford University Palo Alto CA.
Division of Neurology and Vancouver Stroke Program University of British Columbia Vancouver British Columbia Canada.
J Am Heart Assoc. 2022 Jun 7;11(11):e024992. doi: 10.1161/JAHA.121.024992. Epub 2022 Jun 3.
Background The objective of the study was to assess the cost-effectiveness of cilostazol (a selective phosphodiesterase 3 inhibitor) added to aspirin or clopidogrel for secondary stroke prevention in patients with noncardioembolic stroke. Methods and Results A Markov model decision tree was used to examine lifetime costs and quality-adjusted life years (QALYs) of patients with noncardioembolic stroke treated with either aspirin or clopidogrel or with additional cilostazol 100 mg twice daily. Cohorts were followed until all patients died from competing risks or ischemic or hemorrhagic stroke. Probabilistic sensitivity analysis using Monte Carlo simulation was used to model 10 000 cohorts of 10 000 patients. The addition of cilostazol to aspirin or clopidogrel is strongly cost saving. In all 10 000 simulations, the cilostazol strategy resulted in lower health care costs compared with aspirin or clopidogrel alone (mean $13 488 cost savings per patient; SD, $8087) and resulted in higher QALYs (mean, 0.585 more QALYs per patient lifetime; SD, 0.290). This result remained robust across a variety of sensitivity analyses, varying cost inputs, and treatment effects. At a willingness-to-pay threshold of $50 000/QALY, average net monetary benefit from the addition of cilostazol was $42 743 per patient over their lifetime. Conclusions Based on the best available data, the addition of cilostazol to aspirin or clopidogrel for secondary prevention following noncardioembolic stroke results in significantly reduced health care costs and a gain in lifetime QALYs.
研究目的在于评估西洛他唑(一种选择性磷酸二酯酶 3 抑制剂)添加至阿司匹林或氯吡格雷在非心源性脑卒患者二级预防中的成本效益。
采用 Markov 模型决策树分析,评估非心源性脑卒患者分别接受阿司匹林、氯吡格雷或联合西洛他唑 100mg bid 治疗的终生成本和质量调整生命年(QALY)。随访队列直至所有患者因竞争风险、缺血性卒或出血性卒而死亡。采用 Monte Carlo 模拟法进行概率敏感性分析,模拟 10000 例、10000 名患者的队列。西洛他唑联合阿司匹林或氯吡格雷治疗具有明显的成本节约效果。在 10000 次模拟中,西洛他唑治疗方案较单独使用阿司匹林或氯吡格雷可降低医疗费用(每名患者节省 13488 美元;SD,8087 美元),并增加 QALY(每名患者终生可增加 0.585 个 QALY;SD,0.290)。在各种敏感性分析中,包括成本输入和治疗效果的变化,结果均稳健一致。在 50000 美元/QALY 的意愿支付阈值下,添加西洛他唑的平均净货币收益为每位患者终生 42743 美元。
基于现有最佳数据,非心源性脑卒二级预防中,西洛他唑联合阿司匹林或氯吡格雷治疗可显著降低医疗费用,提高患者终生 QALY。