SSD Clinical Trial in Oncoematologia e Mieloma Multiplo, Division of Hematology, University of Torino, Azienda Ospedaliero-Universitaria Città della Salute e della Scienza di Torino, Torino, Italy.
Multidisciplinary Oncology Outpatient Clinic, Candiolo Cancer Institute, FPO - IRCCS, Torino, Italy.
J Clin Oncol. 2022 Sep 20;40(27):3120-3131. doi: 10.1200/JCO.21.01393. Epub 2022 Jun 6.
High levels of circulating tumor plasma cells (CTC-high) in patients with multiple myeloma are a marker of aggressive disease. We aimed to confirm the prognostic impact and identify a possible cutoff value of CTC-high for the prediction of progression-free survival (PFS) and overall survival (OS), in the context of concomitant risk features and minimal residual disease (MRD) achievement.
CTC were analyzed at diagnosis with two-tube single-platform flow cytometry (sensitivity 4 × 10) in patients enrolled in the multicenter randomized FORTE clinical trial (ClinicalTrials.gov identifier: NCT02203643). MRD was assessed by second-generation multiparameter flow cytometry (sensitivity 10). We tested different cutoff values in series of multivariate (MV) Cox proportional hazards regression analyses on PFS outcome and selected the value that maximized the Harrell's C-statistic. We analyzed the impact of CTC on PFS and OS in a MV analysis including baseline features and MRD negativity.
CTC analysis was performed in 401 patients; the median follow-up was 50 months (interquartile range, 45-54 months). There was a modest correlation between the percentage of CTC and bone marrow plasma cells ( = 0.38). We identified an optimal CTC cutoff of 0.07% (approximately 5 cells/µL, C-index 0.64). In MV analysis, CTC-high versus CTC-low patients had significantly shorter PFS (hazard ratio, 2.61; 95% CI, 1.49 to 2.97, < .001; 4-year PFS 38% 69%) and OS (hazard ratio, 2.61; 95% CI, 1.49 to 4.56; < .001; 4-year OS 68% 92%). The CTC levels, but not the bone marrow plasma cell levels, affected the outcome. The only factor that reduced the negative impact of CTC-high was the achievement of MRD negativity (interaction = .039).
In multiple myeloma, increasing levels of CTC above an optimal cutoff represent an easy-to-assess, robust, and independent high-risk factor. The achievement of MRD negativity is the most important factor that modulates their negative prognostic impact.
多发性骨髓瘤患者血液中循环肿瘤浆细胞(CTC-high)水平较高是侵袭性疾病的标志物。我们旨在确认 CTC-high 对无进展生存期(PFS)和总生存期(OS)的预测的预后影响,并确定其预测 PFS 和 OS 的可能截断值,同时考虑到伴随的风险特征和微小残留疾病(MRD)的获得情况。
在多中心随机 FORTE 临床试验(ClinicalTrials.gov 标识符:NCT02203643)中,对纳入的患者进行了两管单平台流式细胞术(敏感性 4×10)检测 CTC。采用第二代多参数流式细胞术(敏感性 10)检测 MRD。我们在基于 PFS 结果的多变量(MV)Cox 比例风险回归分析系列中测试了不同的截断值,并选择了使 Harrell's C 统计量最大化的截断值。我们在包括基线特征和 MRD 阴性的 MV 分析中分析了 CTC 对 PFS 和 OS 的影响。
对 401 例患者进行了 CTC 分析;中位随访时间为 50 个月(四分位间距,45-54 个月)。CTC 百分比与骨髓浆细胞之间存在中度相关性( = 0.38)。我们确定了最佳 CTC 截断值为 0.07%(约 5 个细胞/μL,C 指数为 0.64)。在 MV 分析中,与 CTC-低患者相比,CTC-高患者的 PFS 明显更短(风险比,2.61;95%置信区间,1.49 至 2.97, <.001;4 年 PFS 38% 69%)和 OS 更短(风险比,2.61;95%置信区间,1.49 至 4.56; <.001;4 年 OS 68% 92%)。只有达到 MRD 阴性的水平才可以降低 CTC-高的负面影响(交互作用 =.039)。
在多发性骨髓瘤中,高于最佳截断值的 CTC 水平增加代表了一种易于评估的、稳健的独立高危因素。达到 MRD 阴性是调节其预后不良影响的最重要因素。