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一种用于急性髓细胞性白血病的动态三因素生存模型,该模型考虑了对诱导化疗的反应。

A dynamic 3-factor survival model for acute myeloid leukemia that accounts for response to induction chemotherapy.

机构信息

Divisions of Hematology, Mayo Clinic, Rochester, Minnesota, USA.

Department of Laboratory Medicine and Pathology, Mayo Clinic, Rochester, Minnesota, USA.

出版信息

Am J Hematol. 2022 Sep;97(9):1127-1134. doi: 10.1002/ajh.26630. Epub 2022 Jun 30.

DOI:10.1002/ajh.26630
PMID:35702875
Abstract

The current study was approached with the assumption that response to induction chemotherapy, in acute myeloid leukemia (AML), overshadows pre-treatment risk variables in predicting survival and therefore be used as an anchor for a simplified risk model. We considered 759 intensively-treated patients with AML, not promyelocytic: median age 60 years; primary 66%, secondary 25%, and therapy-related 9%; European LeukemiaNet cytogenetic risk category favorable 8%, intermediate 61%, and adverse 31%. Complete remission with (CR) or without (CRi) count recovery was achieved in 608 (80%) patients. After a median follow-up of 22 months, 503 deaths, 272 relapses, and 257 allogeneic hematopoietic stem cell transplants (AHSCTs) were recorded. Multivariable analysis identified failure to achieve CR/CRi (HR 3.8, 95% CI 3.1-4.8), adverse karyotype (2.2, 1.8-2.8), and age >55 years (2.1, 1.6-2.7) as main risk factors for survival. HR-weighted scoring resulted in four-tiered risk stratification: low (0 points; N = 183), intermediate-1 (1 point; N = 331), intermediate-2 (2 points; N = 117), and high (≥3 points; N = 128), with respective median survival (5-year rate) not reached (68%), 34 (37%), 13 (20%), and 5 (5%) months (p < .001). FLT3-ITD mutation was associated with inferior survival in intermediate-1 (p = .004) and TP53 in intermediate-2 (p = .06) and high (p = .02) risk disease; the latter was fully accounted for by the close association between TP53 mutation and complex/monosomal karyotype while the observations regarding FLT3-ITD were not affected by treatment with midostaurin. AHSCT had a favorable impact on survival, most apparent in intermediate-1 (p < .001), intermediate-2 (p = .03), and high (p = .01) risk disease. The proposed 3-factor survival model offers a novel prototype that is amenable to further enhancement by molecular information and was validated in an external cohort of 1032 intensively-treated AML patients.

摘要

本研究假设急性髓系白血病(AML)对诱导化疗的反应比治疗前的风险因素更能预测生存,因此可作为简化风险模型的锚定点。我们考虑了 759 名接受强化治疗的非早幼粒细胞性 AML 患者:中位年龄 60 岁;原发性 66%,继发性 25%,治疗相关性 9%;欧洲白血病网细胞遗传学风险类别为有利 8%,中等 61%,不良 31%。608 例(80%)患者达到完全缓解(CR)或不完全缓解伴计数恢复(CRi)。中位随访 22 个月后,记录了 503 例死亡、272 例复发和 257 例异基因造血干细胞移植(AHSCT)。多变量分析确定未达到 CR/CRi(HR 3.8,95%CI 3.1-4.8)、不良核型(2.2,1.8-2.8)和年龄>55 岁(2.1,1.6-2.7)是生存的主要危险因素。HR 加权评分导致了四层次风险分层:低危(0 分;N=183)、中危-1(1 分;N=331)、中危-2(2 分;N=117)和高危(≥3 分;N=128),中位生存(5 年率)分别为未达到(68%)、34(37%)、13(20%)和 5(5%)个月(p<0.001)。FLT3-ITD 突变与中危-1(p=0.004)和中危-2(p=0.06)和高危(p=0.02)疾病的生存不良相关;在高危疾病中,TP53 突变与复杂/单体核型密切相关,这完全解释了 TP53 突变的观察结果,而关于 FLT3-ITD 的观察结果不受米哚妥林治疗的影响。AHSCT 对生存有有利影响,在中危-1(p<0.001)、中危-2(p=0.03)和高危(p=0.01)疾病中最为明显。提出的 3 因素生存模型提供了一个新的原型,通过分子信息进一步增强是可行的,并在 1032 名接受强化治疗的 AML 患者的外部队列中得到验证。

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