Policy Research Center for Environment and Economy, Ministry of Ecology and Environment of the People's Republic of China, Beijing 100029, China.
Int J Environ Res Public Health. 2022 Jun 10;19(12):7145. doi: 10.3390/ijerph19127145.
The study aims to explore the synergic benefits of reducing air pollutants and CO and water consumption under the carbon emission peak (CEP) policies at a city level. Air pollutants and CO emissions are predicted by the Low Emissions Analysis Platform (LEAP) model, and the water consumption is forecast by the quota method. Two scenarios are constructed with the same policies, but to different degrees: the reference scenario achieves CEP in 2030, and the green and low carbon scenario achieves CEP in 2025. The prediction results show that air pollutant emissions, CO emissions, and water consumption can be obviously decreased by intensifying the CEP policies. The synergic abatement effect was illustrated by the synergic reduction curve. Accelerating the adjustment of economic structure saves the most water, reduces the greatest amount of CO emission, and also obtains the best synergic reduction capability between water consumption and CO emission. Transforming the traditionally long process of steelmaking toward a short electric process reduces the majority of PM, SO, and VOC emissions, while consuming more water. The study provides a new viewpoint to assess and optimize the CEP action plan at city levels.
本研究旨在探讨在城市层面的碳排放峰值(CEP)政策下,减少空气污染物和 CO 排放以及降低水耗的协同效益。空气污染物和 CO 排放通过低排放分析平台(LEAP)模型进行预测,水耗通过配额法进行预测。构建了两个具有相同政策但程度不同的情景:参考情景在 2030 年达到 CEP,绿色低碳情景在 2025 年达到 CEP。预测结果表明,通过强化 CEP 政策,可以明显减少空气污染物排放、CO 排放和水耗。协同减排曲线说明了协同减排的效果。加快经济结构调整可节省最多的水,减少最大量的 CO 排放,并且在水耗和 CO 排放之间获得最佳的协同减排能力。将传统的炼钢长流程转变为短流程的电力生产方式,可以减少大部分 PM、SO 和 VOC 的排放,但同时也会消耗更多的水。本研究为评估和优化城市层面的 CEP 行动计划提供了一个新的视角。