Costello Mack S, Bagley Raymond F, Fernández Bustamante Laura, Deochand Neil
Department of Psychology, Rider University.
Behavior Analysis Program, University of Cincinnati.
J Appl Behav Anal. 2022 Oct;55(4):1068-1082. doi: 10.1002/jaba.938. Epub 2022 Jun 27.
This article describes the use of statistical significance tests and distance-based effect sizes with behavioral data from single case experimental designs (SCEDs). Such data often are interpreted only with visual analysis. However, a growing movement in the field is to quantify results to improve decision-making and communication across studies and sciences. The goal of the present study was to assess the agreement between visual analysis and various statistical tests. We recruited visual analysts to judge 160 pairwise data sets from published articles and compared these analyses to significance tests and effect sizes. One-tailed significance testing of Tau z and the percentage of pairwise differences in the predicted direction (PWD) generally agreed with each other, and complemented the effect sizes of Ratio of Distances (RD) and g. Visual analysis was somewhat unreliable and should be combined with statistical complements to maximize decision accuracy.
本文描述了统计显著性检验和基于距离的效应量在单病例实验设计(SCEDs)行为数据中的应用。此类数据通常仅通过视觉分析来解释。然而,该领域中越来越多的趋势是对结果进行量化,以改善跨研究和学科的决策制定与交流。本研究的目的是评估视觉分析与各种统计检验之间的一致性。我们招募了视觉分析师对已发表文章中的160对数据集进行判断,并将这些分析与显著性检验和效应量进行比较。Tau z的单尾显著性检验和预测方向上的成对差异百分比(PWD)总体上相互一致,并补充了距离比(RD)和g的效应量。视觉分析在一定程度上不可靠,应与统计补充方法相结合,以最大限度地提高决策准确性。