Surgical Department, Dunedin Hospital, Dunedin, New Zealand.
Biostatistics Centre, University of Otago, Dunedin, New Zealand.
ANZ J Surg. 2022 Sep;92(9):2174-2179. doi: 10.1111/ans.17875. Epub 2022 Jun 29.
The New Zealand Public Health System operates in a resource limited environment. Pre-operative investigation of choledocholithiasis (CDL) is variable. Protocol driven practice has improved patient outcomes and cost-effectiveness. The aim is to explore risk stratification for CDL and specific thresholds for accessing magnetic resonance cholangiopancreatography (MRCP) in this contemporary setting.
All adult (16+ years) acute inpatient MRCP requests for gallstone work-up between 1 Jan 2018 and 2031 Dec 2019 at Dunedin Hospital were included. Patients with characteristics not in fitting with an acute symptomatic examination were excluded. Receiver operating characteristic curves were estimated for bilirubin versus MRCP positive by the presence/absence of dilated ducts, indication and American Society of Gastrointestinal Endoscopy (ASGE) risk grouping.
A 106 patients were included. Mean bilirubin at presentation and time of MRCP, 47 versus 28 μmol/L, respectively. MRCP confirmed CDL in 39 (37%) patients. 38 (97%) had biochemical changes with choledocholithiasis. 21 (40%) with CBD dilation had ductal stones versus 18 (34%) with normal ducts. ASGE risk stratification showed 36 (34%), 66 (62%) and 4 (4%) were high, intermediate and low risk, respectively. Of these groups 44%, 35% and 0% had CBD stones on MRCP, respectively. Combination thresholds involving duct size and bilirubin can yield negative predictive values >90%, substantially reducing MRCP load.
MRCP requests can be triaged to maximize stones detected without overly increasing the rate of missed duct stones whilst protecting the limited MRI and ERCP resources. International thresholds and risk stratification alone may not be applicable in our resource limited environment.
新西兰公共卫生系统在资源有限的环境中运作。胆总管结石(CDL)的术前检查各不相同。基于方案的实践改善了患者的预后和成本效益。目的是在这种现代背景下探索 CDL 的风险分层以及获取磁共振胰胆管造影术(MRCP)的具体阈值。
纳入 2018 年 1 月 1 日至 2019 年 12 月 20 日期间在达尼丁医院接受胆囊结石检查的所有成年(16 岁以上)急性住院患者的 MRCP 请求。排除不符合急性症状检查特征的患者。通过是否存在扩张胆管、适应症和美国胃肠内镜学会(ASGE)风险分组,对胆红素与 MRCP 阳性之间的关系进行受试者工作特征曲线估计。
共纳入 106 例患者。入院时和 MRCP 时的平均胆红素分别为 47μmol/L 和 28μmol/L。MRCP 证实 39 例(37%)患者存在 CDL。38 例(97%)有胆石症的生化改变。21 例(40%)胆管扩张患者有胆管结石,18 例(34%)正常胆管患者有胆管结石。ASGE 风险分层显示 36%、66%和 4%分别为高、中、低风险。这些组中,MRCP 上分别有 44%、35%和 0%的患者有 CBD 结石。涉及胆管大小和胆红素的组合阈值可以产生>90%的阴性预测值,从而大大减少 MRCP 的负担。
可以对 MRCP 请求进行分类,以最大限度地提高结石检出率,而不会过度增加漏诊胆管结石的发生率,同时保护有限的 MRI 和 ERCP 资源。在资源有限的环境中,国际阈值和风险分层可能并不适用。