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新发和既往存在的心房颤动能否预测COVID-19患者的死亡率?

Does new onset and pre-existing atrial fibrillation predict mortality in COVID-19 patients?

作者信息

Aydemir Selim, Aksakal Emrah, Aydınyılmaz Faruk, Gülcü Oktay, Saraç İbrahim, Aydın Sidar Şiyar, Doğan Remziye, Lazoğlu Merve, Kalkan Kamuran

机构信息

Department of Cardiology, Mareşal Çakmak State Hospital, Erzurum, Turkey.

Department of Cardiology, Erzurum Education and Research Hospital, University of Health Sciences, Erzurum, Turkey.

出版信息

Egypt Heart J. 2022 Jul 7;74(1):53. doi: 10.1186/s43044-022-00291-9.

Abstract

BACKGROUND

Coronavirus Disease-2019 (COVID-19), caused by Severe Acute Respiratory Syndrome-Coronavirus-2, still remains prevalent and severe. We aimed to evaluate the effects of pre-existing atrial fibrillation and new-onset atrial fibrillation (NOAF) on the clinical severity and mortality of COVID-19.

RESULTS

Between April and December 2020, 5577 patients with positive PCR and/or COVID-19 compatible findings in computed tomography hospitalized were enrolled retrospectively. Total and in-hospital mortality, need for intensive care unit (ICU), need for mechanical ventilation, and recurrent hospitalization results of 286 patients with pre-existing AF before hospitalization and 82 patients with NOAF during hospitalization were evaluated. Preexisting AF was associated with a 2-fold increase in total and in-hospital mortality [OR (2.16 (1.62-2.89), 2.02 (1.48-2.76), P < 0.001, respectively]. NOAF was associated with a 14-fold increase in total mortality and a 12-fold increase in in-hospital mortality [OR(14.72 (9.22-23.5), 12.56 (8.02-19.68), P < 0.001], respectively]. However, pre-existing AF and NOAF resulted in increased ICU admission, mechanical ventilation, and recurrent hospitalization. In the Cox regression analysis, NOAF was observed as an independent risk factor for mortality.

CONCLUSIONS

Pre-existing AF and in-hospital NOAF were associated with increased mortality and severity in hospitalized COVID-19 patients. In addition, NOAF was observed as an independent prognostic indicator in terms of total mortality.

摘要

背景

由严重急性呼吸综合征冠状病毒2引起的2019冠状病毒病(COVID-19)仍然流行且严重。我们旨在评估既往房颤和新发房颤(NOAF)对COVID-19临床严重程度和死亡率的影响。

结果

回顾性纳入了2020年4月至12月期间因聚合酶链反应(PCR)阳性和/或计算机断层扫描显示符合COVID-19表现而住院的5577例患者。评估了286例住院前有房颤的患者和82例住院期间发生NOAF的患者的全因死亡率和院内死亡率、入住重症监护病房(ICU)的需求、机械通气的需求以及再次住院情况。既往房颤与全因死亡率和院内死亡率增加2倍相关[比值比(OR)分别为2.16(1.62 - 2.89)、2.02(1.48 - 2.76),P < 0.001]。NOAF与全因死亡率增加14倍和院内死亡率增加12倍相关[OR分别为14.72(9.22 - 23.5)、12.56(8.02 - 19.68),P < 0.001]。然而,既往房颤和NOAF均导致ICU入住率、机械通气需求和再次住院率增加。在Cox回归分析中,NOAF被视为死亡率的独立危险因素。

结论

既往房颤和住院期间的NOAF与住院COVID-19患者的死亡率和严重程度增加相关。此外,就全因死亡率而言,NOAF被视为独立的预后指标。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/fb25/9263010/c3206e35c2e1/43044_2022_291_Fig1_HTML.jpg

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