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基于 BP 神经网络模型的营销品牌销售预测。

Sales Forecast of Marketing Brand Based on BP Neural Network Model.

机构信息

College of International Education, Jiangsu Vocational College of Finance and Economics, Huaian 223003, Jiangsu, China.

出版信息

Comput Intell Neurosci. 2022 Jun 28;2022:1769424. doi: 10.1155/2022/1769424. eCollection 2022.

Abstract

With the advancement of globalization, the market competition among enterprises has become increasingly intense. To win a good market, an enterprise must understand and grasp the laws of the market economy and accordingly predict the future of the market. Efficient market estimates are based on a careful study of various types of market data. Therefore, enterprises must engage in preliminary research and data collection, based on a complete data system, and ensure the accuracy of vision predictions by developing a scientific market vision. Only by ensuring correct estimates can companies develop a right business plan and ultimately capture the market. More traditional sales forecasting methods generally only involve some details of sales, not accounting for relatively complex interactions among those factors (price, consumer income, etc.) that affect demand, and as a result, the models built are relatively simple. Artificial neural networks have excellent capabilities for infinite mapping and passive learning. This affects the requirements among the various factors, as well as the more complex relationships between them. In terms of weights, it is safe for neural networks. Therefore, BP neural network technology is used by most people to predict the number of sales, and a more coherent sales forecast method has been established for this purpose. Predicting sales targets is a very complex process, as the experimental results show. The prediction accuracy of this model is much higher than that of other common prediction methods. Its prediction accuracy is more than 30% higher than that of conventional methods, and it also has better comprehensive performance. This has a certain application value for sales forecasting work.

摘要

随着全球化的推进,企业之间的市场竞争变得愈发激烈。为了赢得良好的市场,企业必须了解和掌握市场经济规律,据此预测市场的未来。有效的市场预测是建立在对各种类型的市场数据进行仔细研究的基础上的。因此,企业必须进行初步研究和数据收集,基于完整的数据系统,并通过开发科学的市场愿景来确保预测的准确性。只有确保正确的估计,企业才能制定正确的业务计划,最终占领市场。

更传统的销售预测方法通常只涉及销售的一些细节,没有考虑到影响需求的因素(价格、消费者收入等)之间相对复杂的相互作用,因此构建的模型相对简单。人工神经网络具有无限映射和被动学习的出色能力。这会影响各种因素之间的要求,以及它们之间更复杂的关系。在权重方面,神经网络是安全的。因此,BP 神经网络技术被大多数人用于预测销售量,并为此建立了一种更连贯的销售预测方法。

如实验结果所示,预测销售目标是一个非常复杂的过程。该模型的预测精度远高于其他常见预测方法。其预测精度比传统方法高出 30%以上,综合性能也更好。这对于销售预测工作具有一定的应用价值。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/5817/9256356/b723d2467ac8/CIN2022-1769424.001.jpg

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