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渥太华评分在识别复发性静脉血栓栓塞高危癌症患者方面表现不佳:来自TROPIQUE研究及更新荟萃分析的见解

The Ottawa Score Performs Poorly to Identify Cancer Patients at High Risk of Recurrent Venous Thromboembolism: Insights from the TROPIQUE Study and Updated Meta-Analysis.

作者信息

Frere Corinne, Crichi Benjamin, Wahl Clémentine, Lesteven Elodie, Connault Jérôme, Durant Cécile, Rueda-Camino Jose Antonio, Yannoutos Alexandra, Bensaoula Okba, Le Maignan Christine, Marjanovic Zora, Farge Dominique

机构信息

INSERM UMRS-1166, Institute of Cardiometabolism and Nutrition, GRC 27 GRECO, Sorbonne Université, F-75013 Paris, France.

Internal Medicine Unit (UF 04): CRMR MATHEC, Maladies Auto-Immunes et Thérapie Cellulaire, Saint-Louis Hospital, Assistance Publique-Hôpitaux de Paris, F-75010 Paris, France.

出版信息

J Clin Med. 2022 Jun 28;11(13):3729. doi: 10.3390/jcm11133729.

DOI:10.3390/jcm11133729
PMID:35807014
原文链接:https://pmc.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/articles/PMC9267563/
Abstract

The Ottawa score (OS) for predicting the risk of recurrent venous thromboembolism (VTE) in cancer patients with VTE may help to guide anticoagulant treatment decisions that will optimize benefit-risk ratios. However, data on its reliability are conflicting. We applied the OS to all cancer patients with VTE enrolled in the prospective multicenter TROPIQUE study who received low-molecular-weight heparin over a 6-month period. Of 409 patients, 171 (41.8%) had a high-risk OS. The 6-month cumulative incidence of recurrent VTE was 7.8% (95%CI 4.2-14.8) in the high-risk OS group versus 4.8% (95%CI 2.6-8.9) in the low-risk OS group (SHR 1.47; 95%CI 0.24-8.55). The Area Under the Receiver Operating Characteristic curve (AUROC) of the OS in identifying patients who developed recurrent VTE was 0.53 (95%CI 0.38-0.65), and its accuracy was 57.9%. Among individual variables included in the OS, only prior VTE was significantly associated with the 6-month risk of recurrent VTE (SHR 4.39; 95% CI 1.13-17.04). When pooling data from all studies evaluating this score for predicting VTE recurrence in cancer patients (7 studies, 3413 patients), the OS estimated pooled AUROC was 0.59 (95%CI 0.56-0.62), and its accuracy was 55.7%. The present findings do not support the use of the OS to assess the risk of recurrent VTE in cancer patients.

摘要

渥太华评分(OS)用于预测静脉血栓栓塞症(VTE)复发风险,这对于癌症合并VTE患者而言,可能有助于指导抗凝治疗决策,从而优化获益风险比。然而,关于其可靠性的数据存在矛盾。我们将OS应用于前瞻性多中心TROPIQUE研究中所有接受低分子量肝素治疗6个月的癌症合并VTE患者。在409例患者中,171例(41.8%)的OS为高危。高危OS组6个月复发性VTE的累积发生率为7.8%(95%CI 4.2 - 14.8),而低危OS组为4.8%(95%CI 2.6 - 8.9)(风险比1.47;95%CI 0.24 - 8.55)。OS用于识别发生复发性VTE患者的受试者工作特征曲线下面积(AUROC)为0.53(95%CI 0.38 - 0.65),其准确性为57.9%。在OS所包含的个体变量中,只有既往VTE与6个月复发性VTE风险显著相关(风险比4.39;95%CI 1.13 - 17.04)。当汇总所有评估该评分用于预测癌症患者VTE复发的研究数据(7项研究,3413例患者)时,OS估计的汇总AUROC为0.59(95%CI 0.56 - 0.62),其准确性为55.7%。目前的研究结果不支持使用OS来评估癌症患者复发性VTE的风险。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/f035/9267563/a8d6961b9c8c/jcm-11-03729-g003.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/f035/9267563/1061cbd09547/jcm-11-03729-g001.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/f035/9267563/027d13c77fe1/jcm-11-03729-g002.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/f035/9267563/a8d6961b9c8c/jcm-11-03729-g003.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/f035/9267563/1061cbd09547/jcm-11-03729-g001.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/f035/9267563/027d13c77fe1/jcm-11-03729-g002.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/f035/9267563/a8d6961b9c8c/jcm-11-03729-g003.jpg

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本文引用的文献

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Recurrent venous thromboembolism and major bleeding in patients with localised, locally advanced or metastatic cancer: an analysis of the Caravaggio study.局部晚期或转移性癌症患者的复发性静脉血栓栓塞和大出血:Caravaggio 研究分析。
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Rivaroxaban vs Dalteparin in Cancer-Associated Thromboembolism: A Randomized Trial.
利伐沙班与达肝素治疗癌症相关血栓栓塞的随机试验
Chest. 2022 Mar;161(3):781-790. doi: 10.1016/j.chest.2021.09.037. Epub 2021 Oct 8.
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Apixaban and Dalteparin for the Treatment of Venous Thromboembolism in Patients with Different Sites of Cancer.阿哌沙班与达肝素用于治疗不同癌症部位患者的静脉血栓栓塞症
Thromb Haemost. 2022 May;122(5):796-807. doi: 10.1055/s-0041-1735194. Epub 2021 Sep 16.
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Antithrombotic Therapy for VTE Disease: Second Update of the CHEST Guideline and Expert Panel Report.VTE疾病的抗栓治疗:CHEST指南及专家小组报告的第二次更新
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Failure of the Ottawa Score to Predict the Risk of Recurrent Venous Thromboembolism in Cancer Patients: The Prospective PREDICARE Cohort Study.渥太华评分未能预测癌症患者复发性静脉血栓栓塞的风险:前瞻性 PREDICARE 队列研究。
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American Society of Hematology 2021 guidelines for management of venous thromboembolism: prevention and treatment in patients with cancer.美国血液学会 2021 年静脉血栓栓塞症管理指南:癌症患者的预防和治疗。
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