Ali Mumtaz, Seraj Mehdi
Department of Banking and Finance, Near East University, Nicosia, North Cyprus, Turkey.
Department of Economics, Near East University, Nicosia, North Cyprus, Turkey.
Environ Sci Pollut Res Int. 2022 Dec;29(58):87901-87922. doi: 10.1007/s11356-022-21900-9. Epub 2022 Jul 12.
The world, addressing to achieve rapid and drastic economic growth by relying on fossil fuel energy consumption, could increase already increasing level of carbon dioxide (CO). Therefore, there is a growing consensus that environmental sustainability by using renewable energy is the only option to avoid environmental calamity. Therefore, according to the authors' best knowledge, this is the first work to look into the short and long-run nexus between economic growth, trade openness, renewable and fossil fuel energy consumption, along with gross capital formation, population growth, and life expectancy as additional variables in top 10 highest renewable energy-using (TRU) economies and top 10 highest fossil fuel-using (TFU) economies from 1991 to 2020, by employing advanced panel data econometric approach. After demonstrating cross-sectional dependency in panel data, the Westerlund cointegration test verifies the long-term link between the variables. A cross-sectional autoregressive distributed lag (CS-ARDL) econometric technique is used to show short- and long-run coefficient values. CS-ARDL estimates confirm that the economic growth, fossil fuel energy, trade openness, and gross capital formation increase carbon dioxide (CO) emissions levels in the short run for TRU and FEU economies, except for gross capital formation for FEU economies. However, economic growth adds to CO emissions for only TRU economies, while fossil fuel energy consumption enhances CO emissions for both groups of economies in the long run. On the contrary, renewable energy reduces CO emissions in the short and long run, while human capital in only the short run. The inferences of this study present new intuitions and urge governments and policymakers to develop a reliable mechanism for investing capital to diversify the energy portfolio through the energy transition process to attain sustainable economic growth and promote awareness campaigns to draw the attention of human capital to environmentally friendly, clean, and green energy sources. Overall, the results recommended energy efficiency usage and ecological friendly innovative technologies to enhance and protect environmental quality.
世界为实现快速而剧烈的经济增长而依赖化石燃料能源消耗,这可能会使已经在上升的二氧化碳(CO)水平进一步增加。因此,越来越多的人达成共识,即利用可再生能源实现环境可持续性是避免环境灾难的唯一选择。因此,据作者所知,这是第一项通过采用先进的面板数据计量经济学方法,研究1991年至2020年期间经济增长、贸易开放度、可再生和化石燃料能源消耗之间的短期和长期关系,以及总资本形成、人口增长和预期寿命作为额外变量,在排名前十的最高可再生能源使用(TRU)经济体和排名前十的最高化石燃料使用(TFU)经济体中的研究。在证明面板数据存在横截面依赖性之后,韦斯特伦德协整检验验证了变量之间的长期联系。使用横截面自回归分布滞后(CS-ARDL)计量技术来显示短期和长期系数值。CS-ARDL估计证实,经济增长、化石燃料能源、贸易开放度和总资本形成在短期内会增加TRU和FEU经济体的二氧化碳(CO)排放水平,但FEU经济体的总资本形成除外。然而,经济增长仅在TRU经济体中增加了CO排放,而从长期来看,化石燃料能源消耗在两组经济体中都增加了CO排放。相反,可再生能源在短期和长期都减少了CO排放,而人力资本仅在短期内减少了CO排放。本研究的推论提供了新的见解,并敦促政府和政策制定者建立一个可靠的机制,通过能源转型过程投资资本以使能源组合多样化,以实现可持续经济增长,并开展宣传活动,吸引人力资本关注环境友好、清洁和绿色能源。总体而言,结果建议使用能源效率和生态友好型创新技术来提高和保护环境质量。