Puranik Arjun, Lenehan Patrick J, O'Horo John C, Pawlowski Colin, Niesen Michiel J M, Virk Abinash, Swift Melanie D, Kremers Walter, Venkatakrishnan A J, Gordon Joel E, Geyer Holly L, Speicher Leigh Lewis, Soundararajan Venky, Badley Andrew D
nference, Cambridge, MA 02139, USA.
Division of Infectious Diseases, Mayo Clinic, Rochester, MN 55902, USA.
PNAS Nexus. 2022 Jun 8;1(3):pgac082. doi: 10.1093/pnasnexus/pgac082. eCollection 2022 Jul.
COVID-19 vaccines are effective, but breakthrough infections have been increasingly reported. We conducted a test-negative case-control study to assess the durability of protection after full vaccination with BNT162b2 against polymerase chain reaction (PCR)-confirmed symptomatic SARS-CoV-2 infection, in a national medical practice from January 2021 through January 2022. We fit conditional logistic regression (CLR) models stratified on residential county and calendar time of testing to assess the association between time elapsed since vaccination and the odds of symptomatic infection or non-COVID-19 hospitalization (negative control), adjusted for several covariates. There were 5,985 symptomatic individuals with a positive test after full vaccination with BNT162b2 (cases) and 32,728 negative tests contributed by 27,753 symptomatic individuals after full vaccination (controls). The adjusted odds of symptomatic infection were higher 250 days after full vaccination versus at the date of full vaccination (Odds Ratio [OR]: 3.62, 95% CI: 2.52 to 5.20). The odds of infection were still lower 285 days after the first BNT162b2 dose as compared to 4 days after the first dose (OR: 0.50, 95% CI: 0.37 to 0.67), when immune protection approximates the unvaccinated status. Low rates of COVID-19 associated hospitalization or death in this cohort precluded analyses of these severe outcomes. The odds of non-COVID-19 associated hospitalization (negative control) decreased with time since vaccination, suggesting a possible underestimation of waning protection by this approach due to confounding factors. In summary, BNT162b2 strongly protected against symptomatic SARS-CoV-2 infection for at least 8 months after full vaccination, but the degree of protection waned significantly over this period.
新冠病毒疫苗是有效的,但突破性感染的报告越来越多。我们进行了一项检测呈阴性的病例对照研究,以评估在2021年1月至2022年1月期间,在全国医疗实践中,接种BNT162b2疫苗后,针对聚合酶链反应(PCR)确诊的有症状的严重急性呼吸综合征冠状病毒2(SARS-CoV-2)感染的保护持久性。我们拟合了按居住县和检测日历时间分层的条件逻辑回归(CLR)模型,以评估自接种疫苗后经过的时间与有症状感染或非新冠病毒相关住院(阴性对照)几率之间的关联,并对几个协变量进行了调整。在接种BNT162b2疫苗后检测呈阳性的有症状个体有5985例(病例),以及由27753例接种疫苗后的有症状个体提供的32728例检测呈阴性者(对照)。与完全接种疫苗当日相比,完全接种疫苗250天后有症状感染的调整后几率更高(优势比[OR]:3.62,95%置信区间:2.52至5.20)。与第一剂BNT162b2接种后4天相比,在第一剂接种285天后感染几率仍然较低(OR:0.50,95%置信区间:0.37至0.67),此时免疫保护接近未接种疫苗状态。该队列中新冠病毒相关住院率或死亡率较低,无法对这些严重结局进行分析。非新冠病毒相关住院(阴性对照)的几率随着自接种疫苗后的时间而降低,这表明由于混杂因素,这种方法可能低估了保护作用的减弱。总之,BNT162b2在完全接种疫苗后至少8个月内对有症状的SARS-CoV-2感染提供了强有力的保护,但在此期间保护程度显著下降。
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