Schofield Deborah, Zeppel Melanie J B, Tanton Robert, Veerman Jacob Lennert, Kelly Simon J, Passey Megan E, Shrestha Rupendra N
Centre for Economic Impacts of Genomic Medicine (GenIMPACT), Macquarie Business School, Macquarie University, Sydney, New South Wales, Australia.
National Centre for Social and Economic Modelling, University of Canberra, Australian Capital Territory, Australia.
BJPsych Open. 2022 Jul 18;8(4):e136. doi: 10.1192/bjo.2022.540.
Mental illness has a significant impact not only on patients, but also on their carers' capacity to work.
To estimate the costs associated with lost labour force participation due to the provision of informal care for people with mental illness in Australia, such as income loss for carers and lost tax revenue and increased welfare payments for government, from 2015 to 2030.
The output data of a microsimulation model Care&WorkMOD were analysed to project the financial costs of informal care for people with mental illness, from 2015 to 2030. Care&WorkMOD is a population-representative microsimulation model of the Australian population aged between 15 and 64 years, built using the Australian Bureau of Statistics Surveys of Disability, Ageing and Carers data and the data from other population-representative microsimulation models.
The total annual national loss of income for all carers due to caring for someone with mental illness was projected to rise from AU$451 million (£219.6 million) in 2015 to AU$645 million (£314 million) in 2030 in real terms. For the government, the total annual lost tax revenue was projected to rise from AU$121 million (£58.9 million) in 2015 to AU$170 million (£82.8 million) in 2030 and welfare payments to increase from AU$170 million (£82.8 million) to AU$220 million (£107 million) in 2030.
The costs associated with lost labour force participation due to the provision of informal care for people with mental illness are projected to increase for both carers and government, with a widening income gap between informal carers and employed non-carers, putting carers at risk of increased inequality.
精神疾病不仅对患者有重大影响,也会影响其照料者的工作能力。
估算2015年至2030年期间,在澳大利亚因照料患有精神疾病的患者而导致劳动力参与率下降所带来的成本,如照料者的收入损失、政府税收损失以及福利支出增加。
分析微观模拟模型Care&WorkMOD的输出数据,以预测2015年至2030年期间为患有精神疾病的患者提供非正式照料的财务成本。Care&WorkMOD是一个具有人口代表性的微观模拟模型,涵盖15至64岁的澳大利亚人口,它是利用澳大利亚统计局的残疾、老龄化和照料者调查数据以及其他具有人口代表性的微观模拟模型的数据构建而成。
预计到2030年,所有照料患有精神疾病患者的照料者每年的全国总收入实际损失将从2015年的4.51亿澳元(2.196亿英镑)增至6.45亿澳元(3.14亿英镑)。对政府而言,预计每年的税收损失将从2015年的1.21亿澳元(5890万英镑)增至2030年的1.7亿澳元(8280万英镑),福利支出将从2015年的1.7亿澳元(8280万英镑)增至2030年的2.2亿澳元(1.07亿英镑)。
预计因照料患有精神疾病的患者而导致劳动力参与率下降所带来的成本,对于照料者和政府来说都将增加,非正式照料者与在职非照料者之间的收入差距将不断扩大,使照料者面临不平等加剧的风险。