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二十世纪初,欧洲移民到美国死亡率优势的缺失。

The Missing Mortality Advantage for European Immigrants to the United States in the Early Twentieth Century.

机构信息

Department of Sociology, William & Mary, Williamsburg, VA, USA.

出版信息

Demography. 2022 Aug 1;59(4):1517-1539. doi: 10.1215/00703370-10111916.

DOI:10.1215/00703370-10111916
PMID:35848952
Abstract

Immigrant populations typically have lower mortality rates and longer life expectancies than their nonimmigrant counterparts. This immigrant mortality advantage has been a recurrent finding in demographic and population health research focused on contemporary waves of immigration. However, historical data suggest that European immigrants to the United States in the early twentieth century had worse health and higher rates of mortality, yet it remains unclear why a mortality advantage was absent for immigrants during this period. This article combines Vital Statistics records and Lee-Carter mortality models to analyze mortality by nativity status for the U.S. White population from 1900 to 1960, examining variation by age, sex, time, and place. Contrary to contemporary expectations of a foreign-born mortality advantage, White immigrants had higher mortality rates in the early 1900s, with the largest foreign-born disadvantage among the youngest and oldest populations. Although foreign-born and U.S.-born White mortality rates trended toward convergence over time, the foreign-born mortality penalty remained into the 1950s. A decomposition analysis finds that immigrants' concentration in cities, which had higher rates of infectious disease mortality, accounted for nearly half of the nativity difference in 1900, and this place effect declined in subsequent decades. Additional evidence, such as a spike in mortality inequalities during the 1918 influenza pandemic, suggests that common explanations for the immigrant mortality advantage may be less influential in a context of high risk from infectious disease.

摘要

移民人口的死亡率通常低于非移民人口,预期寿命也更长。这种移民死亡率优势在以当代移民潮为重点的人口统计学和人口健康研究中反复出现。然而,历史数据表明,20 世纪初移民到美国的欧洲移民健康状况较差,死亡率较高,但仍不清楚为什么在此期间移民没有死亡率优势。本文结合生命统计记录和李-卡特死亡率模型,分析了 1900 年至 1960 年美国白人的原籍国死亡率,考察了年龄、性别、时间和地点的差异。与当代对外来移民死亡率优势的预期相反,白人移民在 20 世纪初的死亡率较高,在最年轻和最年长的人群中,外国出生的劣势最大。尽管外国出生和美国出生的白人死亡率随着时间的推移呈趋同趋势,但外国出生的死亡率仍持续到 20 世纪 50 年代。分解分析发现,移民集中在城市,而城市的传染病死亡率较高,这解释了 1900 年原籍国差异的近一半,而这种地方效应在随后的几十年中有所下降。其他证据,如 1918 年流感大流行期间死亡率不平等的飙升,表明传染病风险较高的情况下,移民死亡率优势的常见解释可能影响较小。

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