Hao Yuanyuan, Kong Mengyuan
School of Economics, Jiangsu University of Technology, 213001 Changzhou, China.
Department of Physical Education, Dankook University, Yongin-si, 16890 Korea.
Humanit Soc Sci Commun. 2022;9(1):236. doi: 10.1057/s41599-022-01255-9. Epub 2022 Jul 13.
The main objective of this study is to investigate the impact relationship between the golf simulation industry and economic growth in Korea using impulse response and variance decomposition of Structural Vector Auto-regressive model (SVAR) based on data from 2000 to 2020. The impulse response results show that under the short-term constraint, there is a strong correlation between the golf simulation industry, sports industry investment and labor population, while the interaction between the golf simulation industry, sports industry investment and economic growth is weak, and the trend of their influence is somewhat uncertain under the effect of economic growth. In contrast, there is a unidirectional positive influence effect between the golf simulation industry, sports industry investment, labor population and economic growth under the long-term constraint. However, the difference from short-term constraints is that the long-term shock effect is less volatile with a poorer influence effect, thus leading to the weaker interaction between them. The structural variance decomposition shows that the impact path of the economic effect of the golf simulation industry is the same for both long-term and short-term effects, which indicates that the golf simulation industry, labor population, and sports industry investment all have a positive contribution on economic growth.
本研究的主要目的是基于2000年至2020年的数据,运用结构向量自回归模型(SVAR)的脉冲响应和方差分解,研究韩国高尔夫模拟产业与经济增长之间的影响关系。脉冲响应结果表明,在短期约束下,高尔夫模拟产业、体育产业投资与劳动力人口之间存在较强的相关性,而高尔夫模拟产业、体育产业投资与经济增长之间的相互作用较弱,在经济增长的影响下,它们的影响趋势有些不确定。相比之下,在长期约束下,高尔夫模拟产业、体育产业投资、劳动力人口与经济增长之间存在单向正向影响效应。然而,与短期约束不同的是,长期冲击效应波动较小,但影响效应较差,从而导致它们之间的相互作用较弱。结构方差分解表明,高尔夫模拟产业经济效应的影响路径在长期和短期效应中是相同的,这表明高尔夫模拟产业、劳动力人口和体育产业投资对经济增长都有积极贡献。