Ministry of Earth Sciences (MoES), Indian National Centre for Ocean Information Services (INCOIS), Hyderabad, Telangana, 500 090, India.
School of Ocean Science and Technology, Kerala University of Fisheries and Ocean Studies, Panangad, Cochin, 682506, India.
Sci Rep. 2022 Jul 20;12(1):12360. doi: 10.1038/s41598-022-16634-0.
The present study analyzes the impact of the Southern Ocean (SO) sea ice concentration on the north Indian Ocean (NIO) wave fields through swells using 6 years (2016-2021) of WAVEWATCH III (WWIII) simulations. We did two experimental runs of WWIII, one with sea ice concentration and winds as the forcing (W3) and the second run with only wind forcing (W3). Analysis shows the impact of the SO sea ice concentration on northward swell peaks in September-November, coinciding with the maximum sea ice extent in the Antarctic region of the Indian Ocean. W3 simulations are biased more by ~ 60% and ~ 37% in significant wave height and period, respectively, against W3 when compared with NIO mooring data. W3 simulates low-frequency swells and travels fast towards NIO, with implications for operational oceanography. We have shown that the forecasts of the timing of high swell events along NIO coasts can be erroneous by ~ 12 h if the SO sea ice concentration is not included in the model. Further, W3 could potentially produce false swell alerts along southeastern Australian coasts. In summary, our study highlights the importance of the SO sea ice concentration inclusion in the wave models to accurately simulate NIO waves.
本研究通过风浪模型(WAVEWATCH III,WWIII)模拟了 6 年(2016-2021 年)的数据,分析了南大洋(SO)海冰浓度对北印度洋(NIO)波场的影响。我们进行了两次 WWIII 的实验运行,一次是在海冰浓度和风作为强迫力的情况下(W3),另一次是仅在风强迫力的情况下(W3)。分析表明,SO 海冰浓度对 9 月至 11 月的北向涌浪峰值有影响,这与印度洋南极地区的海冰最大值相对应。与 NIO 锚泊数据相比,W3 模拟的有效波高和周期分别存在约 60%和 37%的偏差。W3 模拟了低频涌浪,并快速向 NIO 传播,这对海洋业务有影响。我们表明,如果模型中不包括 SO 海冰浓度,那么对 NIO 沿海高涌浪事件发生时间的预报可能会出现约 12 小时的误差。此外,W3 可能会在澳大利亚东南部沿海产生虚假的涌浪警报。总之,本研究强调了在波浪模型中包含 SO 海冰浓度的重要性,以准确模拟 NIO 波浪。