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母亲暴露于环境温度与足月低出生体重的关联因地理位置而异:在巴西,正相关可能仅发生在亚马逊地区。

The association of maternal exposure to ambient temperature with low birth weight in term pregnancies varies by location: In Brazil, positive associations may occur only in the Amazon region.

机构信息

School of Public Policy and Government, Fundação Getúlio Vargas Brasília, Distrito Federal, Brazil.

Department of Environmental Health, Harvard TH Chan School of Public Health Boston, Massachusetts, United States.

出版信息

Environ Res. 2022 Nov;214(Pt 2):113923. doi: 10.1016/j.envres.2022.113923. Epub 2022 Jul 19.

Abstract

Exposure to ambient temperature has been linked to adverse birth outcomes in several regions, including the USA, Australia, China, countries in the Middle East, and European countries. To date, no studies were performed in South America, a region with serious challenges related to climate change. Our investigation addresses this literature lack by examining the association between Low Birth Weight (LBW) and ambient temperature exposure in the largest county in South America, Brazil. We applied a nationwide case-control study design using a logistic regression model to estimate the odds ratio (OR) for LBW associated with ambient temperature during a specific trimester of pregnancy (1-3 trimester). Our sample size includes 5,790,713 birth records nationwide over 18 years (2001-2018), of which 264,967 infants were included in the model as cases of LBW, representing 4.6% of our total sample. We adjusted our model for several confounding variables, including weather factors, air pollution, seasonality, and SES variables at the individual level. Our findings indicate that North was the only region with positive and statistically significant associations in the primary analysis and most of the sensitivity analysis, which is the region where the Amazon is located. In this region, we estimated an increase of 5.16% (95%CI: 3.60; 6.74) in the odds of LBW per 1 °C increase in apparent temperature when the exposure occurred in the second trimester. Our results may be explained by the climate conditions in the Amazon region in the past years. A large body of literature indicates that the Amazon region has been facing serious climate challenges including issues related to policy, governance, and deforestation. Specifically, regarding deforestation, it is suggested that land use change and deforestation is projected to increase heat stress in the Amazon region, because of Amazon savannization, increasing the risk of heat stress exposure in Northern Brazil. Our study can assist public sectors and clinicians in mitigating the risk and vulnerability of the Amazonian population.

摘要

暴露于环境温度与多个地区的不良出生结局有关,包括美国、澳大利亚、中国、中东国家和欧洲国家。迄今为止,在南美洲还没有进行过研究,南美洲面临着与气候变化相关的严峻挑战。我们通过在南美洲最大的国家巴西进行一项全国性病例对照研究,以评估特定孕期(1-3 期)暴露于环境温度与低出生体重(LBW)之间的关联,以此填补该领域的文献空白。我们采用逻辑回归模型进行全国性病例对照研究设计,以估计与孕期特定 trimester 期间环境温度相关的 LBW 的比值比(OR)。我们的样本量包括全国范围内 18 年来(2001-2018 年)的 5790713 份出生记录,其中 264967 名婴儿被纳入模型作为 LBW 的病例,占我们总样本的 4.6%。我们调整了模型,以纳入个体层面的天气因素、空气污染、季节性和 SES 变量等混杂变量。我们的发现表明,在主要分析和大多数敏感性分析中,仅北方地区呈阳性且具有统计学意义的关联,而北方地区是亚马逊地区所在地。在这个地区,我们估计在第二个孕期暴露于环境温度时,每升高 1°C,LBW 的几率会增加 5.16%(95%CI:3.60;6.74)。我们的结果可能可以用过去几年亚马逊地区的气候条件来解释。大量文献表明,亚马逊地区面临着严重的气候挑战,包括与政策、治理和森林砍伐有关的问题。具体来说,关于森林砍伐,有研究表明,土地利用变化和森林砍伐预计会增加亚马逊地区的热应激,因为亚马逊地区的热带稀树草原化会增加巴西北部地区暴露于热应激的风险。我们的研究可以帮助公共部门和临床医生减轻亚马逊地区人口的风险和脆弱性。

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