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基于层次分析法、频率比和模糊伽马算子模型的滑坡易发性制图,以伊朗洛雷斯坦省北部为例。

Landslide susceptibility mapping by integrating analytical hierarchy process, frequency ratio, and fuzzy gamma operator models, case study: North of Lorestan Province, Iran.

机构信息

College of Sciences, Lorestan University, Khoramabad, 68148, Iran.

出版信息

Environ Monit Assess. 2022 Jul 21;194(9):600. doi: 10.1007/s10661-022-10206-5.

DOI:10.1007/s10661-022-10206-5
PMID:35864313
Abstract

Identifying landslide-prone areas is an essential step in assessing landslide risk and reducing landslide damage. In this paper, GIS-based spatial analysis has been used to prepare the landslide susceptibility (LS) map in the north of Lorestan province in western Iran. For this purpose, three main criteria and their sub-criteria were identified as causative factors including geology and topography (i.e., distance from the fault, lithology, slope, aspect, and elevation), climate (i.e., rainfall and distance from the river), and environmental parameters (i.e., distance from the road, land-cover, NDVI). One hundred thirty-six known landslides were randomly divided into training ([Formula: see text] 70%) and validation ([Formula: see text] 30%) datasets. This study is based on the integration of popular analytic hierarchy process (AHP), frequency ratio (FR), and the fuzzy gamma operator (FGO) techniques. AHP was utilized to prioritize causal factors and fuzzy technique was applied in two stages of factor map fuzzification and calculation of sub-criteria maps and then overlap of fuzzified map layers. The fuzzy membership (FM) values were determined based on the FR method, which was normalized between the ranges of 0 and 1. Finally, LS zoning maps were estimated in five susceptibility classes (very low, low, moderate, high, and very high). Validation processes by comparing the three output maps with the layer of validation landslides in the study area and area under receiver operating characteristic curve confirm that the gamma value of 0.9 (AUC = 0.88) offers a more accurate LS map compared to other gamma values. The results of this study will be reliable for landslide risk reduction strategies.

摘要

识别易滑坡区是评估滑坡风险和减少滑坡损失的重要步骤。本文利用 GIS 空间分析方法,制作了伊朗西部洛雷斯坦省北部的滑坡易发性(LS)图。为此,确定了三个主要标准及其子标准,作为诱发因素,包括地质和地形(如断层距离、岩性、坡度、方位和海拔)、气候(如降雨量和河流距离)以及环境参数(如道路距离、土地覆盖、NDVI)。将 136 个已知滑坡点随机分为训练集(70%)和验证集(30%)。本研究基于流行的层次分析法(AHP)、频率比(FR)和模糊伽马算子(FGO)技术的集成。首先利用 AHP 对因果因素进行优先级排序,然后利用模糊技术在两个阶段进行操作,即因子图模糊化以及子准则图的计算,然后再对模糊化的图层进行重叠。FM 值根据 FR 方法确定,该方法将归一化为 0 到 1 之间的范围。最后,将 LS 划分为五个易发性等级(极低、低、中、高和极高)。通过将三种输出图与研究区域内的验证滑坡层和接收者操作特征曲线下的面积进行比较,对验证过程进行了评估,证实了伽马值为 0.9(AUC=0.88)的输出图比其他伽马值提供了更准确的 LS 图。本研究的结果将为滑坡风险降低策略提供可靠依据。

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