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时间无法治愈所有创伤:离婚者与已婚者的财富轨迹

Time cannot heal all wounds: Wealth trajectories of divorcees and the married.

作者信息

Kapelle Nicole

机构信息

Department of Sociology University of Oxford Oxford UK.

Nuffield College University of Oxford Oxford UK.

出版信息

J Marriage Fam. 2022 Apr;84(2):592-611. doi: 10.1111/jomf.12824. Epub 2022 Jan 29.

Abstract

OBJECTIVE

To explore disparities in wealth trajectories between divorcees and continuously married individuals including moderation effects of remarriage and gender.

BACKGROUND

Amid concerns of long-term economic consequences of divorce, research illustrated that ever-divorced individuals hold less wealth than the married preretirement. However, it remains unclear whether this is a direct result of immediate, lasting divorce-related wealth penalties or whether divorce also leads to long-term wealth accumulation disparities.

METHOD

Using personal-level, longitudinal wealth data from the Socio-Economic Panel Study, I applied propensity score and exact matching with random-effects growth models to compare wealth trajectories of divorcees and the married. The matching allowed (1) married controls to be assigned a theoretical divorce date for ease of comparability to the treatment group (i.e., divorcees) and (2) the account of a wide range of baseline differences.

RESULTS

Wealth differences between ever-divorce and continuously married individuals stem from lasting disadvantage-particularly for housing wealth-generated immediately around divorce rather than a scarring of divorcees' wealth accumulation. Remarriage but particularly gender is relevant moderators. Whereas remarriage moderates net wealth trajectories through housing wealth, gender moderates trajectories through financial wealth.

CONCLUSION

Divorce importantly contributes to wealth stratification. Mitigation of divorce-related wealth penalties for both men and women needs to focus on immediate, but lasting costs of divorce particularly regarding homeownership.

摘要

目的

探讨离婚者与持续婚姻者在财富轨迹上的差异,包括再婚和性别的调节作用。

背景

在对离婚的长期经济后果的担忧中,研究表明,曾经离婚的个人比退休前结婚的人拥有的财富更少。然而,尚不清楚这是与离婚相关的即时、持久财富惩罚的直接结果,还是离婚也会导致长期财富积累差异。

方法

利用社会经济面板研究中的个人层面纵向财富数据,我应用倾向得分和精确匹配以及随机效应增长模型来比较离婚者和已婚者的财富轨迹。这种匹配允许:(1)为已婚对照组设定一个理论离婚日期,以便于与治疗组(即离婚者)进行比较;(2)考虑到广泛的基线差异。

结果

曾经离婚者与持续婚姻者之间的财富差异源于持久的劣势——特别是对于离婚前后立即产生的住房财富而言,而不是离婚者财富积累的伤痕。再婚尤其是性别是相关的调节因素。再婚通过住房财富调节净财富轨迹,而性别通过金融财富调节轨迹。

结论

离婚对财富分层有重要影响。减轻男女与离婚相关的财富惩罚需要关注离婚的即时但持久的成本,特别是在住房所有权方面。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/2cef/9303434/2213522138ec/JOMF-84-592-g001.jpg

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