Business School, Qingdao University, Qingdao 266061, China.
Int J Environ Res Public Health. 2022 Jul 15;19(14):8619. doi: 10.3390/ijerph19148619.
Paying attention to the mechanisms of the of the marine economy and designing a scientific and reasonable optimization path are the keys to achieving a "win-win" balance between environmental protection and high-quality marine development. Therefore, this paper considers the rigid constraints of resources and negative environmental effects to construct a multi-factor evaluation model of the of the marine economy including capital, labor, and resources to expand the evaluation method system for the sustainable development of the marine economy. On this basis, this paper determines the influencing factors of the of China's marine economy, qualitatively analyzes the mechanism of each influencing factor on the of the marine economy, uses multi-dimensional data of coastal areas, quantitatively analyzes the direct and indirect effects of the factors that influence the , and proposes practical optimization paths and safeguarding measures, which provide a decision-making reference for the implementation of China's marine development strategy. The results showed that the of China's marine economy was in a state of improvement and increased from 0.9878 in 2006 to 1.2789 in 2018. The direct effects of environmental regulations have a negative and significant impact on , whereas economic development, human capital, and technological innovations have a positive and significant impact on . In addition, environmental regulations have an "inclined N" double-threshold effect on . The impact of environmental regulations on the of the marine economy depends on the intensity of the environmental regulations, as different intensities of environmental regulations have different dominant levels of the "innovation compensation effect" and "offset effect" that affect the of the marine economy.
关注海洋经济发展的机制,设计科学合理的优化路径,是实现环境保护与海洋经济高质量发展“双赢”平衡的关键。因此,本文考虑资源刚性约束和负环境效应,构建了包含资本、劳动和资源的海洋经济发展多要素评价模型,拓展了海洋经济可持续发展的评价方法体系。在此基础上,本文确定了影响中国海洋经济发展的因素,定性分析了各影响因素对海洋经济发展的作用机制,利用沿海多维数据,定量分析了影响因素对发展的直接和间接效应,并提出了切实可行的优化路径和保障措施,为实施中国海洋发展战略提供了决策参考。结果表明,中国海洋经济发展水平呈上升趋势,从 2006 年的 0.9878 上升到 2018 年的 1.2789。环境规制的直接效应对海洋经济发展呈负向显著影响,而经济发展、人力资本和技术创新则呈正向显著影响。此外,环境规制对海洋经济发展存在“倾斜 N”的双重门槛效应。环境规制对海洋经济发展的影响取决于环境规制的强度,不同强度的环境规制对海洋经济发展的“创新补偿效应”和“抵消效应”具有不同的主导地位。