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中国工业绿色全要素生产率的南北区域差异分解及时空动态演进。

North-south regional differential decomposition and spatiotemporal dynamic evolution of China's industrial green total factor productivity.

机构信息

School of Economics, Zhongnan University of Economics and Law, No. 182, Nanhu Avenue, East Lake High-Tech Development Zone, Wuhan, 430073, Hubei, China.

Wenlan School of Business, Zhongnan University of Economics and Law, No. 182, Nanhu Avenue, East Lake High-Tech Development Zone, Wuhan, 430073, Hubei, China.

出版信息

Environ Sci Pollut Res Int. 2023 Mar;30(13):37706-37725. doi: 10.1007/s11356-022-24697-9. Epub 2022 Dec 27.

DOI:10.1007/s11356-022-24697-9
PMID:36574115
Abstract

"Green development" has become the way for countries around the world to strengthen industries, and it is an important part of China's high-quality economic development. The key for China to strike a balance between economic growth and environmental management is to optimize green total factor productivity (GTFP). This paper measures the GTFP of industry in 30 provinces of China from 2003 to 2019, based on the perspective of energy and carbon emission constraints. It empirically examines the spatial disequilibrium and dynamic evolution of industrial GTFP in China using Dagum Gini coefficients, Kernel density estimation, and Markov chain analysis. The study finds that, (1) although China's industrial GTFP is not high, it shows an increasing trend. The industrial GTFP in the southern region is higher than that in the northern region. (2) Technical efficiency is the shortcoming of China's industrial GTFP improvement. Technological progress is the main driving force of China's industrial GTFP improvement. (3) The relative and absolute differences in China'' industrial GTFP, technical efficiency, and technological progress have all shown a widening trend. Regional differences between the southern and northern regions are the main source of relative differences in industrial GTFP, technical efficiency, and technological progress. (4) China's industrial GTFP shows a clear "club convergence" phenomenon and the "Matthew effect." However, after the introduction of the spatial factor, the "club convergence" phenomenon and the "Matthew effect" have weakened. The driving effect of industrial GTFP on neighboring provinces is stronger in the south than in the north. This paper enriches the analysis of industrial GTFP and provides an important basis for the coordinated regional development of Chinese industry.

摘要

"绿色发展"已成为世界各国加强产业的方式,也是中国高质量经济发展的重要组成部分。中国在经济增长和环境管理之间取得平衡的关键是优化绿色全要素生产率(GTFP)。本文从能源和碳排放约束的角度,测算了 2003-2019 年中国 30 个省份的工业 GTFP,利用 Dagum Gini 系数、核密度估计和马尔可夫链分析方法,实证检验了中国工业 GTFP 的空间非均衡和动态演变。研究发现:(1)尽管中国的工业 GTFP 不高,但呈上升趋势,南部地区的工业 GTFP 高于北部地区;(2)技术效率是中国工业 GTFP 提高的短板,技术进步是中国工业 GTFP 提高的主要动力;(3)中国工业 GTFP、技术效率和技术进步的相对和绝对差异都呈现出扩大的趋势,南部和北部地区之间的区域差异是工业 GTFP、技术效率和技术进步相对差异的主要来源;(4)中国工业 GTFP 呈现出明显的"俱乐部收敛"现象和"马太效应",但在引入空间因素后,"俱乐部收敛"现象和"马太效应"有所减弱,工业 GTFP 对相邻省份的带动作用在南部比在北部更强。本文丰富了对工业 GTFP 的分析,为中国工业的区域协调发展提供了重要依据。

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