Genomic Predictors of Recurrence Patterns After Complete Resection of Colorectal Liver Metastases and Adjuvant Hepatic Artery Infusion Chemotherapy.

BACKGROUND

Despite curative hepatectomy, most colorectal liver metastasis (CRLM) patients relapse locally within 2 years. Genomic predictors for hepatic recurrence are poorly understood. This study was designed to identify genomic signatures for recurrence in resected CRLM patients treated with adjuvant hepatic artery infusion (HAI) and/or systemic (SYS) chemotherapy.

METHODS

Patients undergoing curative hepatectomy and adjuvant HAI+SYS or SYS between January 2000 and October 2017 with next-generation sequencing data were catalogued. Gene and signaling-level alterations were checked for association with time to any (AR), liver (LR), and extrahepatic recurrence (ER) by using Kaplan-Meier analysis.

RESULTS

Of 172 receiving HAI+SYS, 100 patients recurred, with 69 LR and 83 ER. Five- and ten-year LR-free rates were 57% (95% confidence interval [CI] 48-65%) and 51% (95% CI 41-60%), respectively. Five- and 10-year ER-free, rates were 51% (95% CI 43-58%) and 45% (95% CI 36-54%), respectively. More ER was observed with tumors harboring altered KRAS (38% [95% CI 25-50%] vs. 63% [95% CI 53-71%], p-adj = 0.003) and RAS/RAF (36% [95% CI 25-48%] vs. 66% [95% CI 56-74%], p-adj < 0.001) than wild-type. Co-altered RAS/RAF-TP53 was associated with worse AR (26% [95% CI 14-40%] vs. 48% [95% CI 39-57%], p-unadj < 0.001), ER (30% [95% CI 17-45%] vs. 62% [95% CI 53-70%], p-unadj < 0.001), and LR rate (40% [95% CI 24-57%] vs. 70% [95% CI 60-77%], p-unadj = 0.002). On multivariable analysis, controlling for clinical risk score, ablation, margin status, and primary T-stage, co-altered RAS/RAF-TP53 was associated with increased risk for AR (HR = 2.14, 95% CI 1.38-3.31, p-unadj < 0.001), LR (HR = 1.79, 95% CI 1.06-3.02, p-unadj = 0.029), and ER (HR = 2.81, 95% CI 1.78-4.44, p-unadj < 0.001).

CONCLUSIONS

Altered KRAS, RAS/RAF, and RAS/RAF-TP53 associated with earlier local and distant recurrence in resected CRLM patients receiving adjuvant HAI+SYS. Co-altered RAS/RAF-TP53 was a novel predictor of LR warranting investigation of whether genomic cooperativity is associated with this relapsing phenotype. Systemic therapies tailored to high-risk tumor biology are needed to reduce distant relapse after hepatectomy.