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气候变化下城乡韧性的比较研究。

A Comparative Study of the Resilience of Urban and Rural Areas under Climate Change.

机构信息

School of Architecture and Planning, Fujian University of Technology, Fuzhou 350118, China.

Department of Urban Planning, National Cheng Kung University, Tainan 70101, Taiwan, China.

出版信息

Int J Environ Res Public Health. 2022 Jul 22;19(15):8911. doi: 10.3390/ijerph19158911.

DOI:10.3390/ijerph19158911
PMID:35897290
原文链接:https://pmc.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/articles/PMC9331052/
Abstract

The impact of climate change in recent years has caused considerable risks to both urban and rural systems. How to mitigate the damage caused by extreme weather events has attracted much attention from countries in recent years. However, most of the previous studies on resilience focused on either urban areas or rural areas, and failed to clearly identify the difference between urban and rural resilience. In fact, the exploration of the difference between the resilience characteristics of cities and villages under climate change can help to improve the planning strategy and the allocation of resources. In this study, the indicators of resilience were firstly built through a literature review, and then a Principal Component Analysis was conducted to construct an evaluation system involving indicators such as "greenland resilience", "community age structure resilience", "traditional knowledge resilience", "infrastructure resilience" and "residents economic independence resilience". Then the analysis of Local Indicators of Spatial Association showed some resilience abilities are concentrated in either urban or rural. Binary logistic regression was performed, and the results showed urban areas have more prominent abilities in infrastructure resilience (the coefficient value is 1.339), community age structure resilience (0.694), and greenland resilience (0.3), while rural areas are more prominent in terms of the residents economic independence resilience (-0.398) and traditional knowledge resilience (-0.422). It can be seen that urban areas rely more on the resilience of the socio-economic structure, while rural areas are more dependent on their own knowledge and economic independence. This result can be used as a reference for developing strategies to improve urban and rural resilience.

摘要

近年来,气候变化的影响给城乡系统带来了相当大的风险。如何减轻极端天气事件造成的破坏,近年来引起了各国的关注。然而,以前关于恢复力的大多数研究都集中在城市或农村地区,未能清楚地识别城市和农村恢复力之间的差异。事实上,探索气候变化下城市和村庄恢复力特征的差异有助于提高规划策略和资源配置。在这项研究中,首先通过文献回顾建立了恢复力指标,然后进行主成分分析,构建了一个评估系统,其中包含“绿地恢复力”、“社区年龄结构恢复力”、“传统知识恢复力”、“基础设施恢复力”和“居民经济独立性恢复力”等指标。然后,局部空间关联指标分析表明,一些恢复力能力集中在城市或农村地区。进行二元逻辑回归分析,结果表明,城市地区在基础设施恢复力(系数值为 1.339)、社区年龄结构恢复力(0.694)和绿地恢复力(0.3)方面具有更突出的能力,而农村地区在居民经济独立性恢复力(-0.398)和传统知识恢复力(-0.422)方面更为突出。可以看出,城市地区更多地依赖于社会经济结构的恢复力,而农村地区则更多地依赖于自身的知识和经济独立性。这一结果可以为制定提高城乡恢复力的战略提供参考。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/23d2/9331052/961b8589abf4/ijerph-19-08911-g003.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/23d2/9331052/6da44f19436b/ijerph-19-08911-g001.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/23d2/9331052/26968e21e961/ijerph-19-08911-g002.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/23d2/9331052/961b8589abf4/ijerph-19-08911-g003.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/23d2/9331052/6da44f19436b/ijerph-19-08911-g001.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/23d2/9331052/26968e21e961/ijerph-19-08911-g002.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/23d2/9331052/961b8589abf4/ijerph-19-08911-g003.jpg

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Metacoupling of Water Transfer: The Interaction of Ecological Environment in the Middle Route of China's South-North Project.水转移的元耦合:南水北调中线工程中的生态环境相互作用。
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