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意大利 12 至 39 岁人群接种 COVID-19 mRNA 疫苗后的心肌炎和心包炎上市后主动监测:多数据库、自身对照病例系列研究。

Postmarketing active surveillance of myocarditis and pericarditis following vaccination with COVID-19 mRNA vaccines in persons aged 12 to 39 years in Italy: A multi-database, self-controlled case series study.

机构信息

National Centre for Drug Research and Evaluation, Istituto Superiore di Sanità (National Institute of Health), Rome, Italy.

Department of Infectious Diseases, Istituto Superiore di Sanità (National Institute of Health), Rome, Italy.

出版信息

PLoS Med. 2022 Jul 28;19(7):e1004056. doi: 10.1371/journal.pmed.1004056. eCollection 2022 Jul.

Abstract

BACKGROUND

Myocarditis and pericarditis following the Coronavirus Disease 2019 (COVID-19) mRNA vaccines administration have been reported, but their frequency is still uncertain in the younger population. This study investigated the association between Severe Acute Respiratory Syndrome Coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) mRNA vaccines, BNT162b2, and mRNA-1273 and myocarditis/pericarditis in the population of vaccinated persons aged 12 to 39 years in Italy.

METHODS AND FINDINGS

We conducted a self-controlled case series study (SCCS) using national data on COVID-19 vaccination linked to emergency care/hospital discharge databases. The outcome was the first diagnosis of myocarditis/pericarditis between 27 December 2020 and 30 September 2021. Exposure risk period (0 to 21 days from the vaccination day, subdivided in 3 equal intervals) for first and second dose was compared with baseline period. The SCCS model, adapted to event-dependent exposures, was fitted using unbiased estimating equations to estimate relative incidences (RIs) and excess of cases (EC) per 100,000 vaccinated by dose, age, sex, and vaccine product. Calendar period was included as time-varying confounder in the model. During the study period 2,861,809 persons aged 12 to 39 years received mRNA vaccines (2,405,759 BNT162b2; 456,050 mRNA-1273); 441 participants developed myocarditis/pericarditis (346 BNT162b2; 95 mRNA-1273). Within the 21-day risk interval, 114 myocarditis/pericarditis events occurred, the RI was 1.99 (1.30 to 3.05) after second dose of BNT162b2 and 2.22 (1.00 to 4.91) and 2.63 (1.21 to 5.71) after first and second dose of mRNA-1273. During the [0 to 7) days risk period, an increased risk of myocarditis/pericarditis was observed after first dose of mRNA-1273, with RI of 6.55 (2.73 to 15.72), and after second dose of BNT162b2 and mRNA-1273, with RIs of 3.39 (2.02 to 5.68) and 7.59 (3.26 to 17.65). The number of EC for second dose of mRNA-1273 was 5.5 per 100,000 vaccinated (3.0 to 7.9). The highest risk was observed in males, at [0 to 7) days after first and second dose of mRNA-1273 with RI of 12.28 (4.09 to 36.83) and RI of 11.91 (3.88 to 36.53); the number of EC after the second dose of mRNA-1273 was 8.8 (4.9 to 12.9). Among those aged 12 to 17 years, the RI was of 5.74 (1.52 to 21.72) after second dose of BNT162b2; for this age group, the number of events was insufficient for estimating RIs after mRNA-1273. Among those aged 18 to 29 years, the RIs were 7.58 (2.62 to 21.94) after first dose of mRNA-1273 and 4.02 (1.81 to 8.91) and 9.58 (3.32 to 27.58) after second dose of BNT162b2 and mRNA-1273; the numbers of EC were 3.4 (1.1 to 6.0) and 8.6 (4.4 to 12.6) after first and second dose of mRNA-1273. The main study limitations were that the outcome was not validated through review of clinical records, and there was an absence of information on the length of hospitalization and, thus, the severity of the outcome.

CONCLUSIONS

This population-based study of about 3 millions of residents in Italy suggested that mRNA vaccines were associated with myocarditis/pericarditis in the population younger than 40 years. According to our results, increased risk of myocarditis/pericarditis was associated with the second dose of BNT162b2 and both doses of mRNA-1273. The highest risks were observed in males of 12 to 39 years and in males and females 18 to 29 years vaccinated with mRNA-1273. The public health implication of these findings should be considered in the light of the proven mRNA vaccine effectiveness in preventing serious COVID-19 disease and death.

摘要

背景

已有报道称,在接种 2019 年冠状病毒病(COVID-19)mRNA 疫苗后会出现心肌炎和心包炎,但在年轻人群中的频率仍不确定。本研究调查了意大利接种疫苗的 12 至 39 岁人群中严重急性呼吸综合征冠状病毒 2(SARS-CoV-2)mRNA 疫苗、BNT162b2 和 mRNA-1273 与心肌炎/心包炎之间的关联。

方法和发现

我们使用 COVID-19 疫苗接种与急诊/住院数据库相关的全国数据,开展了一项自我对照病例系列研究(SCCS)。结局是在 2020 年 12 月 27 日至 2021 年 9 月 30 日期间首次诊断为心肌炎/心包炎。将第一剂和第二剂的暴露风险期(从接种日起 0 至 21 天,分为 3 个相等的间隔)与基线期进行比较。采用适用于事件相关暴露的 SCCS 模型,使用无偏估计方程来估计每 10 万接种者的相对发病率(RI)和超额病例数(EC)。在模型中,日历期被视为时间依赖性混杂因素。在研究期间,2861809 名 12 至 39 岁的人接种了 mRNA 疫苗(2405759 剂 BNT162b2;456050 剂 mRNA-1273);441 名参与者出现心肌炎/心包炎(346 剂 BNT162b2;95 剂 mRNA-1273)。在 21 天的风险间隔内,发生了 114 例心肌炎/心包炎事件,BNT162b2 第二剂后的 RI 为 1.99(1.30 至 3.05),mRNA-1273 第一剂和第二剂后的 RI 分别为 2.22(1.00 至 4.91)和 2.63(1.21 至 5.71)。在 [0 至 7)天的风险期内,mRNA-1273 第一剂后观察到心肌炎/心包炎的风险增加,RI 为 6.55(2.73 至 15.72),BNT162b2 和 mRNA-1273 第二剂后 RI 分别为 3.39(2.02 至 5.68)和 7.59(3.26 至 17.65)。mRNA-1273 第二剂的 EC 为每 10 万人 5.5 例(3.0 至 7.9)。第二剂 mRNA-1273 的风险最高,在男性中观察到 [0 至 7)天,RI 为 12.28(4.09 至 36.83),RI 为 11.91(3.88 至 36.53);第二剂 mRNA-1273 的 EC 为 8.8(4.9 至 12.9)。在 12 至 17 岁的人群中,BNT162b2 第二剂后的 RI 为 5.74(1.52 至 21.72);对于该年龄组,mRNA-1273 后的 RI 数量不足以进行估计。在 18 至 29 岁的人群中,mRNA-1273 第一剂后的 RI 为 7.58(2.62 至 21.94),BNT162b2 和 mRNA-1273 第二剂后的 RI 分别为 4.02(1.81 至 8.91)和 9.58(3.32 至 27.58);mRNA-1273 第一剂和第二剂后的 EC 分别为 3.4(1.1 至 6.0)和 8.6(4.4 至 12.6)。本研究的主要局限性是,该结局未通过对临床记录的审查进行验证,且缺乏有关住院时间的信息,因此无法确定结局的严重程度。

结论

本项基于人群的研究纳入了意大利约 300 万居民,结果提示 mRNA 疫苗与 40 岁以下人群的心肌炎/心包炎有关。根据我们的结果,与 BNT162b2 第二剂和 mRNA-1273 两剂都与心肌炎/心包炎的风险增加相关。风险最高的是 12 至 39 岁的男性和 18 至 29 岁的男性和女性。鉴于 mRNA 疫苗在预防严重 COVID-19 疾病和死亡方面的有效性已得到证实,这些发现的公共卫生意义应加以考虑。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/f981/9333264/2b38e2c82ec1/pmed.1004056.g001.jpg

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