Pei Sen, Kandula Sasikiran, Vega Jaime Cascante, Yang Wan, Foerster Steffen, Thompson Corinne, Baumgartner Jennifer, Ahuja Shama, Blaney Kathleen, Varma Jay, Long Theodore, Shaman Jeffrey
Columbia University.
Mailman School of Public Health, Columbia University.
Res Sq. 2022 Jul 27:rs.3.rs-1840065. doi: 10.21203/rs.3.rs-1840065/v1.
Understanding SARS-CoV-2 transmission within and among communities is critical for tailoring public health policies to local context. However, analysis of community transmission is challenging due to a lack of high-resolution surveillance and testing data. Here, using contact tracing records for 644,029 cases and their contacts in New York City during the second pandemic wave, we provide a detailed characterization of the operational performance of contact tracing and reconstruct exposure and transmission networks at individual and ZIP code scales. We find considerable heterogeneity in reported close contacts and secondary infections and evidence of extensive transmission across ZIP code areas. Our analysis reveals the spatial pattern of SARS-CoV-2 spread and communities that are tightly interconnected by exposure and transmission. We find that higher vaccination coverage and reduced numbers of visitors to points-of-interest are associated with fewer within- and cross-ZIP code transmission events, highlighting potential measures for curtailing SARS-CoV-2 spread in urban settings.
了解严重急性呼吸综合征冠状病毒2(SARS-CoV-2)在社区内和社区间的传播情况对于根据当地情况制定公共卫生政策至关重要。然而,由于缺乏高分辨率的监测和检测数据,对社区传播的分析具有挑战性。在此,我们利用第二波疫情期间纽约市644,029例病例及其接触者的接触者追踪记录,详细描述了接触者追踪的运行表现,并在个体和邮政编码区域尺度上重建了暴露和传播网络。我们发现报告的密切接触者和二代感染存在相当大的异质性,并有证据表明跨邮政编码区域存在广泛传播。我们的分析揭示了SARS-CoV-2传播的空间模式以及通过暴露和传播紧密相连的社区。我们发现,更高的疫苗接种覆盖率和前往兴趣点的访客数量减少与邮政编码区域内和跨区域的传播事件减少有关,这突出了在城市环境中减少SARS-CoV-2传播的潜在措施。