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犬类疾病潜伏期的对数正态分布(萨特韦尔模型)。

Logarithmic normal distribution of incubation times for canine diseases (Sartwell's model).

作者信息

Glickman L T, Lee L A, Cohen N D

出版信息

Am J Vet Res. 1987 May;48(5):842-7.

PMID:3592387
Abstract

The distribution of incubation periods for most infectious diseases follows a logarithmic normal distribution (Sartwell's model). The same is true for human neoplastic diseases of known cause and for genetic diseases, when the age at onset of the disease was used as a surrogate measure of the incubation period. In this study, a similar distribution was observed when Sartwell's model was applied to canine diseases of known genetic cause, but not to diseases of an environmental cause. The model was also applied to canine diseases of suspected multifactorial causes for the purpose of distinguishing between the relative importance of genetic and environmental factors that act before or after birth. Limitations of this method were discussed.

摘要

大多数传染病的潜伏期分布遵循对数正态分布(萨特韦尔模型)。对于已知病因的人类肿瘤疾病和遗传疾病,当将疾病发病年龄用作潜伏期的替代指标时,情况也是如此。在本研究中,当将萨特韦尔模型应用于已知遗传病因的犬类疾病时,观察到了类似的分布,但应用于环境病因的疾病时则未观察到。该模型还应用于疑似多因素病因的犬类疾病,以区分出生前后起作用的遗传和环境因素的相对重要性。讨论了该方法的局限性。

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