Laboratory for Earth Surface Processes, Ministry of Education, College of Urban and Environmental Sciences, Peking University, Beijing 100871, China.
Laboratory for Earth Surface Processes, Ministry of Education, College of Urban and Environmental Sciences, Peking University, Beijing 100871, China.
Sci Total Environ. 2022 Dec 1;850:157868. doi: 10.1016/j.scitotenv.2022.157868. Epub 2022 Aug 6.
Ecosystem services (ES) are the important component supporting the United Nations Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs) realization. In recent decades, rapid urbanization has strongly affected the relationship between ES and SDGs, resulting in the decoupling of ES and SDGs. However, the key urbanization factors dominating the relationship between ES and SDGs are still unclear. In this study, a structural equation model was constructed to explore the impact path and its change of urbanization structure and scale factors on the relationship between ES and SDGs. The results showed that the economic urbanization structure indicator (Engel coefficient) under the influence of technology import significantly impacted the relationship between ES and SDGs in different periods. Under the influence of changes in urban and rural population, population urbanization structure indicator (labor force population proportion) had significant impact on the relationship between ES and economic SDGs, which was significantly stronger in the period of 2010-2015 than in the period of 2000-2005. Land urbanization scale indicators (construction land proportion, and protected natural area proportion) also significantly impacted the relationship between ES and SDGs. Especially for ecological SDGs, the negative impact of construction land on protected natural area increased significantly in the period of 2010-2015, which might further weaken the ES's contribution to SDGs. This study highlighted that along with the continuous transformation of China's society, the key impacts on the relationship between ES and SDGs resulted from the urbanization indicators of scale as well as structure, which provided an extensive support for the sustainable development and social transformation of developing countries and regions.
生态系统服务(ES)是支持联合国可持续发展目标(SDGs)实现的重要组成部分。近几十年来,快速城市化强烈影响了 ES 与 SDGs 之间的关系,导致 ES 与 SDGs 的脱钩。然而,主导 ES 与 SDGs 之间关系的关键城市化因素仍不清楚。在这项研究中,构建了一个结构方程模型,以探讨城市化结构和规模因素对 ES 与 SDGs 之间关系的影响路径及其变化。结果表明,技术进口影响下的经济城市化结构指标(恩格尔系数)在不同时期显著影响 ES 与 SDGs 之间的关系。在城乡人口变化的影响下,人口城市化结构指标(劳动力人口比例)对 ES 与经济 SDGs 之间的关系具有显著影响,在 2010-2015 年期间比在 2000-2005 年期间更为显著。土地城市化规模指标(建设用地比例和保护自然区域比例)也显著影响 ES 与 SDGs 之间的关系。特别是对于生态 SDGs,建设用地对保护自然区域的负面影响在 2010-2015 年期间显著增加,这可能进一步削弱 ES 对 SDGs 的贡献。本研究强调,随着中国社会的不断转型,对 ES 与 SDGs 之间关系的关键影响来自于规模和结构的城市化指标,这为发展中国家和地区的可持续发展和社会转型提供了广泛的支持。