Islam A T M Hasibul, Basher Syed Abul, Enamul Haque A K
Department of Economics, University of Victoria, Victoria, BC V8P 5C2 Canada.
Department of Economics, East West University, Plot No-A/2, Aftabnagar Main Road, Dhaka, 1219 Bangladesh.
J Soc Econ Dev. 2022;24(2):436-455. doi: 10.1007/s40847-022-00194-0. Epub 2022 Aug 22.
Mobile money has become a lifeline for millions of poor people who have limited access to a formal banking system. It encompasses a wide range of benefits such as women's empowerment, risk sharing, improved labor market outcomes and reductions in poverty. In this paper, we ask whether mobile money can help lift people out of poverty. Previous studies have addressed this question by using microanalyses of field experiments or longitudinal data on rural households, whereas we use district-level data to reevaluate the mobile money-poverty nexus. In particular, we study the impact of mobile money on district-level poverty in Bangladesh over the period 2010-2016. Our study finds that every 1 billion Taka (approximately US$ 11.76 million) increase in mobile money transactions via the bKash system in 2015 is associated with 0.71% point reduction in the poverty rate in Bangladesh. The marginal impact ranges from 0.12 to 1.15% points across the districts categorized in five groups as per 2010 poverty rates. The findings suggest that mobile money has been successful in fostering various poverty reduction initiatives and that targeted policy prescriptions can be devised to lift up poorer societies that are still outside the purview of mobile financial services. To further increase mobile money use, the government could use its own infrastructure to enhance mobile agent density in the poorest sectors of society.
移动货币已成为数百万难以进入正规银行系统的贫困人口的生命线。它带来了广泛的益处,如增强妇女权能、分担风险、改善劳动力市场成果以及减少贫困。在本文中,我们探讨移动货币是否有助于人们摆脱贫困。以往的研究通过对实地实验或农村家庭纵向数据进行微观分析来解决这个问题,而我们使用地区层面的数据来重新评估移动货币与贫困之间的关系。具体而言,我们研究了2010 - 2016年期间移动货币对孟加拉国地区层面贫困的影响。我们的研究发现,2015年通过bKash系统进行的移动货币交易每增加10亿塔卡(约合1176万美元),孟加拉国的贫困率就会降低0.71个百分点。根据2010年贫困率分为五组的各地区,边际影响范围在0.12至1.15个百分点之间。研究结果表明,移动货币在促进各项减贫举措方面取得了成功,并且可以制定有针对性的政策措施来帮助那些仍在移动金融服务覆盖范围之外的较贫困社会群体脱贫。为了进一步提高移动货币的使用率,政府可以利用自身基础设施来提高社会最贫困地区的移动代理密度。