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基于要点分类的离散选择模型及其在癌症筛查和治疗患者偏好中的应用。

A discrete choice model implementing gist-based categorization of alternatives, with applications to patient preferences for cancer screening and treatment.

机构信息

Erasmus School of Health Policy and Management and Erasmus Choice Modeling Centre, Erasmus University Rotterdam, P.O. Box 1738, Rotterdam 3000 DR, the Netherlands.

Erasmus School of Health Policy and Management and Erasmus Choice Modeling Centre, Erasmus University Rotterdam, P.O. Box 1738, Rotterdam 3000 DR, the Netherlands.

出版信息

J Health Econ. 2022 Sep;85:102674. doi: 10.1016/j.jhealeco.2022.102674. Epub 2022 Aug 17.

Abstract

The rational microeconomic decision model is hard-coded into usual econometric specifications such as the Multinomial Logit and Probit models, inter alia. There is a very tight link between utility maximization and the apparatus of welfare theory that underlies economic policy analysis, which creates a tension around the possibility of representing other decision rules. We propose a less restrictive model of choice, built on the concept of gist-based categorization judgments that are assumed to precede (thus, condition) the maximization-driven selection process in decision making. This categorization facilitates decision making by allowing adoption of certain simpler decision rules under appropriate conditions, the drivers of which are endogenously determined. We demonstrate that the proposed model provides better fit than traditional choice models, using cancer screening and treatment choice data from two discrete choice experiments. In addition, we show that the model provides a deeper, more nuanced and insightful perspective on (healthcare) decision making.

摘要

通常的计量经济学规范(如多项逻辑回归和概率回归模型等)都内置了理性微观经济决策模型。效用最大化和福利理论的基本原理之间存在着非常紧密的联系,而这些原理是经济政策分析的基础,这就给代表其他决策规则的可能性带来了紧张。我们提出了一种选择的限制较少的模型,该模型建立在基于主旨的分类判断的概念之上,我们假设这些判断先于(因此,条件)决策过程中的最大化驱动选择过程。这种分类通过在适当的条件下允许采用某些更简单的决策规则来促进决策,而这些决策规则的驱动因素是内生决定的。我们使用来自两个离散选择实验的癌症筛查和治疗选择数据,证明了所提出的模型比传统的选择模型具有更好的拟合度。此外,我们还表明,该模型为(医疗保健)决策提供了更深入、更细致和更有见地的视角。

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