Libonati Renata, Geirinhas João L, Silva Patrícia S, Monteiro Dos Santos Djacinto, Rodrigues Julia A, Russo Ana, Peres Leonardo F, Narcizo Luiza, Gomes Monique E R, Rodrigues Andreza P, DaCamara Carlos C, Pereira José Miguel C, Trigo Ricardo M
Departamento de Meteorologia, Universidade Federal do Rio de Janeiro, Rio de Janeiro, Brazil.
Instituto Dom Luiz, Faculdade de Ciências, Universidade de Lisboa, Lisbon, Portugal.
Ann N Y Acad Sci. 2022 Nov;1517(1):44-62. doi: 10.1111/nyas.14887. Epub 2022 Sep 2.
Climate change is drastically altering the frequency, duration, and severity of compound drought-heatwave (CDHW) episodes, which present a new challenge in environmental and socioeconomic sectors. These threats are of particular importance in low-income regions with growing populations, fragile infrastructure, and threatened ecosystems. This review synthesizes emerging progress in the understanding of CDHW patterns in Brazil while providing insights about the impacts on fire occurrence and public health. Evidence is mounting that heatwaves are becoming increasingly linked with droughts in northeastern and southeastern Brazil, the Amazonia, and the Pantanal. In those regions, recent studies have begun to build a better understanding of the physical mechanisms behind CDHW events, such as the soil moisture-atmosphere coupling, promoted by exceptional atmospheric blocking conditions. Results hint at a synergy between CDHW events and high fire activity in the country over the last decades, with the most recent example being the catastrophic 2020 fires in the Pantanal. Moreover, we show that HWs were responsible for increasing mortality and preterm births during record-breaking droughts in southeastern Brazil. This work paves the way for a more in-depth understanding on CDHW events and their impacts, which is crucial to enhance the adaptive capacity of different Brazilian sectors.
气候变化正在急剧改变复合型干旱-热浪(CDHW)事件的频率、持续时间和严重程度,这在环境和社会经济领域带来了新的挑战。这些威胁在人口不断增长、基础设施脆弱且生态系统受到威胁的低收入地区尤为重要。本综述总结了巴西在理解CDHW模式方面的新进展,同时提供了关于其对火灾发生和公众健康影响的见解。越来越多的证据表明,热浪与巴西东北部、东南部、亚马孙地区和潘塔纳尔湿地的干旱联系日益紧密。在这些地区,近期的研究已开始更好地理解CDHW事件背后的物理机制,比如由异常大气阻塞条件促成的土壤湿度-大气耦合。结果表明,在过去几十年里,CDHW事件与该国的高火灾活动之间存在协同效应,最近的例子是2020年潘塔纳尔湿地的灾难性火灾。此外,我们发现热浪在巴西东南部破纪录干旱期间导致了死亡率上升和早产。这项工作为更深入理解CDHW事件及其影响铺平了道路,这对于提高巴西不同部门的适应能力至关重要。