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中国夏季臭氧热浪双重事件与居民心理健康之间的空间相关性。

Spatial correlations between summer ozone heatwave dual events and residents mental health in China.

作者信息

Zeng Rongjun, Zhao Jinhui, Hu Yanxia, Chu Liling, Du Shenwen, Zheng Changzhun, He Chao

机构信息

Faculty of Resources and Environmental Science, Hubei University, Wuhan, 430062, China.

Normal School, Hubei University, Wuhan, 430062, China.

出版信息

Sci Rep. 2025 Jul 1;15(1):21268. doi: 10.1038/s41598-025-04930-4.

Abstract

In the context of global warming, the frequency and intensity of extreme heat events have significantly increased. Elevated temperatures accelerate atmospheric photochemical reactions, resulting in higher ambient ozone (O) levels. This convergence of heatwaves and elevated O concentrations presents a dual threat to public health. This study analyzes surface ozone concentrations and heatwave data from the summers of 2013 to 2020 across China, integrating these with mental health data from the Chinese population. Using spatiotemporal analysis and econometric models, we investigate the spatiotemporal dynamics of ozone and heatwaves during Chinese summers and assess population exposure risks. Our findings quantitatively elucidate the correlations between combined ozone-heatwave events and residents' mental health. By 2020, the number of days with high surface ozone, heatwave days, and heatwave events in China had risen by 16.15%, 26.32%, and 15.67%, respectively, with marked spatial heterogeneity and clustering patterns. Despite a slight decline in 2020, the population exposed to high ozone levels (> 160 μg/m) and prolonged heatwave conditions (> 20 days) showed an overall upward trend. Furthermore, 57.95% and 20.91% of regions are projected to remain at risk from these combined hazards. As surface ozone and heatwave exposure risks escalate, the mental health burden on residents has intensified, with significant spatial disparities observed.

摘要

在全球变暖的背景下,极端高温事件的频率和强度显著增加。气温升高加速了大气光化学反应,导致环境中臭氧(O)水平升高。热浪和臭氧浓度升高的这种共同作用对公众健康构成了双重威胁。本研究分析了2013年至2020年中国夏季的地表臭氧浓度和热浪数据,并将这些数据与中国人口的心理健康数据相结合。通过时空分析和计量经济学模型,我们研究了中国夏季臭氧和热浪的时空动态,并评估了人群暴露风险。我们的研究结果定量地阐明了臭氧-热浪综合事件与居民心理健康之间的相关性。到2020年,中国地表臭氧含量高的天数、热浪天数和热浪事件分别增加了16.15%、26.32%和15.67%,具有明显的空间异质性和聚集模式。尽管2020年有所下降,但暴露于高臭氧水平(>160μg/m)和长期热浪条件(>20天)下的人口总体呈上升趋势。此外,预计57.95%和20.91%的地区仍面临这些综合危害的风险。随着地表臭氧和热浪暴露风险的升级,居民的心理健康负担加重,出现了显著的空间差异。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/d4ec/12218164/5e50342dafec/41598_2025_4930_Fig1_HTML.jpg

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