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环境法规、政治风险与基于消费的碳排放:来自经合组织经济体的证据。

Environmental regulations, political risk and consumption-based carbon emissions: Evidence from OECD economies.

机构信息

School of Economics and Management, Anhui Polytechnic University, Wuhu, 241000, Anhui, China.

School of Economics and Managament, Southeast University, Nanjing, China.

出版信息

J Environ Manage. 2022 Oct 15;320:115893. doi: 10.1016/j.jenvman.2022.115893. Epub 2022 Aug 12.

Abstract

The staggering rise in global temperature and abrupt change of climate are the responses of nature alerting humanity to limit the emissions of hazardous gases and adopt environmentally-benign life style. The present study explores empirically whether any changes in environmental policy stringency (EPSI), political risk (PR), and the interaction term of EPSI*PR result in any alteration of consumption-based carbon emissions (CBCE) of the 24 advanced OECD economies over the period of 1990-2020. Prior to the empirical estimations, various diagnostic tests are employed. The empirical techniques include, panel cointegration check, Cross-sectional Augmented Autoregressive Distributed Lags (CS-ARDL), and Dumitrescu & Hurlin panel causality test. The findings confirm that imports, gross domestic product, and stringency of environment policies activate CBCE in short-run. Whereas, a unit improvement in political risk and its interaction with environmental policy stringency give rise to 0.231 MtCO of CBCE in long run. Interestingly, the squared term of environmental policy stringency effectively tackles such emissions. Based on the findings, we conclude that the present environment related policies of OECD member states does not effectively limit CBCE. In order to achieve genuine emissions reduction goals, the selected nations should restructure their environment related policies by prioritizing increments in environmental policy stringency along with minimizing the risks involved in the political system.

摘要

全球气温的惊人上升和气候的急剧变化是大自然对人类的警示,提醒人类限制危险气体的排放,采取对环境友好的生活方式。本研究实证探讨了环境政策严格程度(EPSI)、政治风险(PR)以及 EPSI*PR 的交互项是否会导致 1990-2020 年间 24 个经合组织发达经济体基于消费的碳排放(CBCE)发生任何变化。在进行实证估计之前,进行了各种诊断测试。实证技术包括面板协整检验、横截面增强自回归分布滞后 (CS-ARDL)和 Dumitrescu & Hurlin 面板因果检验。研究结果证实,进口、国内生产总值和环境政策的严格程度会在短期内激活 CBCE。然而,政治风险的单位改善及其与环境政策严格程度的交互作用会导致长期内 CBCE 增加 0.231 MtCO。有趣的是,环境政策严格程度的平方项有效地解决了这些排放问题。根据研究结果,我们得出结论,经合组织成员国目前的环境相关政策并没有有效地限制 CBCE。为了实现真正的减排目标,这些国家应通过优先加强环境政策的严格程度并最大限度地降低政治体系中的风险来调整其环境相关政策。

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