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中国塑料的流动与存量积累:模式与驱动因素

Flow and stock accumulation of plastics in China: Patterns and drivers.

作者信息

Chu Jianwen, Zhou Ya, Cai Yanpeng, Wang Xuan, Li Chunhui, Liu Qiang

机构信息

State Key Laboratory of Water Environment Simulation, Beijing Normal University, Beijing 100875, China.

Key Laboratory for City Cluster Environmental Safety and Green Development of the Ministry of Education, School of Ecology, Environment and Resources, Guangdong University of Technology, Guangzhou 510006, China; Southern Marine Science and Engineering Guangdong Laboratory (Guangzhou), Guangzhou 511458, China.

出版信息

Sci Total Environ. 2022 Dec 15;852:158513. doi: 10.1016/j.scitotenv.2022.158513. Epub 2022 Sep 6.

Abstract

Plastic pollution has always been a hot issue of global concern. Previous studies have mainly focused on the flow of plastics. However, information on the patterns and characteristics of flow, stock, and waste in the plastic life cycle and their driving factors is limited in China, and effective waste reduction and sustainable strategies are missing. Therefore, this research established a flow model of polyethylene (PE), polypropylene (PP), and polyethylene terephthalate (PET); further analyzed the driving factors; and proposed strategies for waste reduction and sustainable development. We found that the total consumption, stock, and waste of PET, PE, and PP in 2010-2017 reached 552.96, 292.70, and 257.18 Tg, respectively. Building and construction (B&C), packaging, and textiles were the sectors with the largest stock of PE, PP, and PET. From 2010 to 2013, the stock of PE increased by 440 %, which was mainly driven by the increase in material utilization intensity (MUI). Similarly, the growth of MUI was the main driving factor driving PP (351 %) and PET (367 %) stocks. Notably, from 2014 to 2017, economic growth was the main factor driving the plastic stock. These results will provide a scientific basis for promoting the sustainable utilization of PE, PP, and PET and be of great significance to achieve the strategic goal of a no-waste city.

摘要

塑料污染一直是全球关注的热点问题。以往的研究主要集中在塑料的流动方面。然而,在中国,关于塑料生命周期中流动、存量和废弃物的模式及特征及其驱动因素的信息有限,且缺乏有效的废弃物减量和可持续发展策略。因此,本研究建立了聚乙烯(PE)、聚丙烯(PP)和聚对苯二甲酸乙二酯(PET)的流动模型;进一步分析了驱动因素;并提出了废弃物减量和可持续发展的策略。我们发现,2010 - 2017年PET、PE和PP的总消费量、存量和废弃物量分别达到552.96Tg、292.70Tg和257.18Tg。建筑施工、包装和纺织是PE、PP和PET存量最大的行业。2010年至2013年,PE的存量增长了440%,这主要是由材料利用强度(MUI)的增加驱动的。同样,MUI的增长是推动PP(351%)和PET(367%)存量增长的主要驱动因素。值得注意的是,2014年至2017年,经济增长是推动塑料存量的主要因素。这些结果将为促进PE、PP和PET的可持续利用提供科学依据,对实现无废城市的战略目标具有重要意义。

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