De Voeght Adrien, Willems Evelyne, Servais Sophie, Seidel Laurence, Pirotte Michelle, Massion Paul, Layios Nathalie, Pereira Maguy, Misset Benoit, Canivet Jean-Luc, Beguin Yves, Baron Frédéric
Department of Medicine, Division of Hematology, Centre Hospitalier Universitaire de Liège, University of Liège, 4000 Liège, Belgium.
Department of Biostatistics, SIMÉ, University Hospital Center of Liège, 4000 Liège, Belgium.
Cancers (Basel). 2022 Aug 31;14(17):4266. doi: 10.3390/cancers14174266.
Allogeneic hematopoietic stem cell transplantation (allo-HCT) recipients requiring intensive care unit (ICU) have high mortality rates. In the current study, we retrospectively assessed whether the Prognostic Index for Critically Ill Allogeneic Transplantation patients (PICAT) score predicted overall survival in a cohort of 111 consecutive allo-HCT recipients requiring ICU. Survival rates at 30 days and 1 year after ICU admission were 57.7% and 31.5%, respectively, and were significantly associated with PICAT scores ( = 0.036). Specifically, survival at 30-day for low, intermediate, and high PICAT scores was 64.1%, 58.1%, and 31.3%, respectively. At one-year, the figures were 37.5%, 29%, and 12.5%, respectively. In multivariate analyses, high PICAT score (HR = 2.23, = 0.008) and relapse prior to ICU admission (HR = 2.98, = 0.0001) predicted higher mortality. We next compared the ability of the PICAT and the Sequential Organ Failure Assessment (SOFA) scores to predict mortality in our patients using c-statistics. C statistics for the PICAT and the SOFA scores were 0.5687 and 0.6777, respectively. This study shows that while the PICAT score is associated with early and late mortality in allo-HCT recipients requiring ICU, it is outperformed by the SOFA score to predict their risk of mortality.
需要重症监护病房(ICU)治疗的异基因造血干细胞移植(allo-HCT)受者死亡率很高。在本研究中,我们回顾性评估了重症异基因移植患者预后指数(PICAT)评分能否预测111例连续入住ICU的allo-HCT受者队列的总生存率。ICU入院后30天和1年的生存率分别为57.7%和31.5%,且与PICAT评分显著相关(P = 0.036)。具体而言,低、中、高PICAT评分患者30天生存率分别为64.1%、58.1%和31.3%。1年时,相应数字分别为37.5%、29%和12.5%。多因素分析显示,高PICAT评分(HR = 2.23,P = 0.008)和ICU入院前复发(HR = 2.98,P = 0.0001)预示着更高的死亡率。接下来,我们使用c统计量比较了PICAT评分和序贯器官衰竭评估(SOFA)评分预测患者死亡率的能力。PICAT评分和SOFA评分的c统计量分别为0.5687和0.6777。本研究表明,虽然PICAT评分与需要ICU治疗的allo-HCT受者的早期和晚期死亡率相关,但在预测其死亡风险方面,SOFA评分表现更优。