Division of Transplant and Hepatobiliary Surgery, Henry Ford Health System, Detroit, MI, United States.
Division of Gastroenterology and Hepatology, Henry Ford Health System, Detroit, MI, United States.
Transpl Int. 2022 Aug 25;35:10489. doi: 10.3389/ti.2022.10489. eCollection 2022.
Advanced age of liver donor is a risk factor for graft loss after transplant. We sought to identify recipient characteristics associated with negative post-liver transplant (LT) outcomes in the context of elderly donors. Using 2014-2019 OPTN/UNOS data, LT recipients were classified by donor age: ≥70, 40-69, and <40 years. Recipient risk factors for one-year graft loss were identified and created a risk stratification system and validated it using 2020 OPTN/UNOS data set. At transplant, significant recipient risk factors for one-year graft loss were: previous liver transplant (adjusted hazard ratio [aHR] 4.37, 95%CI 1.98-9.65); mechanical ventilation (aHR 4.28, 95%CI 1.95-9.43); portal thrombus (aHR 1.87, 95%CI 1.26-2.77); serum sodium <125 mEq/L (aHR 2.88, 95%CI 1.34-6.20); and Karnofsky score 10-30% (aHR 2.03, 95%CI 1.13-3.65), 40-60% (aHR 1.65, 95%CI 1.08-2.51). Using those risk factors and multiplying HRs, recipients were divided into low-risk ( = 931) and high-risk ( = 294). Adjusted risk of one-year graft loss in the low-risk recipient group was similar to that of patients with younger donors; results were consistent using validation dataset. Our results show that a system of careful recipient selection can reduce the risks of graft loss associated with older donor age.
老年供体是肝移植后移植物丢失的危险因素。我们试图确定在老年供体背景下与肝移植后(LT)不良结局相关的受者特征。使用 2014-2019 年 OPTN/UNOS 数据,根据供体年龄将 LT 受者分为:≥70 岁、40-69 岁和<40 岁。确定了受者发生 1 年移植物丢失的危险因素,并创建了一个风险分层系统,并用 2020 年 OPTN/UNOS 数据集进行了验证。在移植时,1 年移植物丢失的显著受者危险因素包括:既往肝移植(调整后的危险比[aHR]4.37,95%CI 1.98-9.65);机械通气(aHR 4.28,95%CI 1.95-9.43);门静脉血栓形成(aHR 1.87,95%CI 1.26-2.77);血清钠<125 mEq/L(aHR 2.88,95%CI 1.34-6.20);和 Karnofsky 评分 10-30%(aHR 2.03,95%CI 1.13-3.65)、40-60%(aHR 1.65,95%CI 1.08-2.51)。使用这些危险因素和 HR 相乘,将受者分为低危(=931)和高危(=294)。低危受者组 1 年移植物丢失的调整风险与年轻供体患者相似;使用验证数据集的结果一致。我们的研究结果表明,一种仔细选择受者的系统可以降低与老年供体年龄相关的移植物丢失风险。