Department of Public Health, China Medical University College of Public Health, Taichung 406, Taiwan.
Management Office for Health Data, China Medical University Hospital, Taichung 404, Taiwan.
Viruses. 2022 Aug 30;14(9):1932. doi: 10.3390/v14091932.
Studies have associated the human respiratory syncytial virus which causes seasonal childhood acute bronchitis and bronchiolitis (CABs) with climate change and air pollution. We investigated this association using the insurance claims data of 3,965,560 children aged ≤ 12 years from Taiwan from 2006−2016. The monthly average incident CABs increased with increasing PM2.5 levels and exhibited an inverse association with temperature. The incidence was 1.6-fold greater in January than in July (13.7/100 versus 8.81/100), declined during winter breaks (February) and summer breaks (June−August). The highest incidence was 698 cases/day at <20 °C with PM2.5 > 37.0 μg/m3, with an adjusted relative risk (aRR) of 1.01 (95% confidence interval [CI] = 0.97−1.04) compared to 568 cases/day at <20 °C with PM2.5 < 15.0 μg/m3 (reference). The incidence at ≥30 °C decreased to 536 cases/day (aRR = 0.95, 95% CI = 0.85−1.06) with PM2.5 > 37.0 μg/m3 and decreased further to 392 cases/day (aRR = 0.61, 95% CI = 0.58−0.65) when PM2.5 was <15.0 μg/m3. In conclusion, CABs infections in children were associated with lowered ambient temperatures and elevated PM2.5 concentrations, and the high PM2.5 levels coincided with low temperature levels. The role of temperature should be considered in the studies of association between PM2.5 and CABs.
研究表明,引起季节性儿童急性支气管炎和细支气管炎(CABs)的人类呼吸道合胞病毒与气候变化和空气污染有关。我们使用了来自台湾 2006-2016 年 3965560 名≤12 岁儿童的保险索赔数据来研究这种关联。每月平均 CABs 发病率随着 PM2.5 水平的升高而增加,并且与温度呈反比关系。1 月份的发病率比 7 月份高 1.6 倍(13.7/100 比 8.81/100),在冬季假期(2 月)和夏季假期(6-8 月)期间下降。在 PM2.5>37.0μg/m3 且温度<20°C 的情况下,发病率最高为 698 例/天,与 PM2.5<15.0μg/m3(参照)且温度<20°C 的 568 例/天相比,调整后的相对风险(aRR)为 1.01(95%置信区间 [CI] = 0.97-1.04)。在 PM2.5>37.0μg/m3 且温度≥30°C 的情况下,发病率降至 536 例/天(aRR = 0.95,95%CI = 0.85-1.06),当 PM2.5<15.0μg/m3 时,发病率进一步降至 392 例/天(aRR = 0.61,95%CI = 0.58-0.65)。总之,儿童 CABs 感染与环境温度降低和 PM2.5 浓度升高有关,高 PM2.5 水平与低温水平相吻合。在 PM2.5 与 CABs 之间的关联研究中,应考虑温度的作用。