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基于HEART法和最佳-最差法相结合的矿山爆破过程中人为失误概率测定

Human Error Probability Determination in Blasting Process of Ore Mine Using a Hybrid of HEART and Best-Worst Methods.

作者信息

Mirzaei Aliabadi Mostafa, Mohammadfam Iraj, Soltanian Ali Reza, Najafi Kamran

机构信息

Center of Excellence for Occupational Health, Occupational Health and Safety Research Center, Hamadan University of Medical Sciences, Hamadan, Iran.

Modeling of Non Communicable Diseases Research Center, Department of Biostatistics, School of Public Health, Hamadan University of Medical Sciences, Hamadan, Iran.

出版信息

Saf Health Work. 2022 Sep;13(3):326-335. doi: 10.1016/j.shaw.2022.03.010. Epub 2022 Mar 31.

Abstract

BACKGROUND

One of the important actions for enhancing human reliability in any industry is assessing human error probability (HEP). The HEART technique is a robust tool for calculating HEP in various industries. The traditional HEART has some weaknesses due to expert judgment. For these reasons, a hybrid model is presented in this study to integrate HEART with Best-Worst Method.

MATERIALS METHOD

In this study, the blasting process in an iron ore mine was investigated as a case study. The proposed HEART-BWM was used to increase the sensitivity of APOA calculation. Then the HEP was calculated using conventional HEART formula. A consistency ratio was calculated using BWM. Finally, for verification of the HEART-BWM, HEP calculation was done by traditional HEART and HEART-BWM.

RESULTS

In the view of determined HEPs, the results showed that the mean of HEP in the blasting of the iron ore process was 2.57E-01. Checking the full blast of all the holes after the blasting sub-task was the most dangerous task due to the highest HEP value, and it was found 9.646E-01. On the other side, obtaining a permit to receive and transport materials was the most reliable task, and the HEP was 8.54E-04.

CONCLUSION

The results showed a good consistency for the proposed technique. Comparing the two techniques confirmed that the BWM makes the traditional HEART faster and more reliable by performing the basic comparisons.

摘要

背景

在任何行业中,提高人员可靠性的重要措施之一是评估人为失误概率(HEP)。HEART技术是计算各行业HEP的有力工具。由于专家判断的原因,传统的HEART存在一些弱点。因此,本研究提出了一种将HEART与最佳-最差方法相结合的混合模型。

材料与方法

本研究以某铁矿的爆破过程为例进行调查。使用所提出的HEART-BWM来提高APOA计算的敏感性。然后使用传统的HEART公式计算HEP。使用BWM计算一致性比率。最后,为验证HEART-BWM,通过传统HEART和HEART-BWM进行HEP计算。

结果

从确定的HEPs来看,结果表明铁矿石爆破过程中HEP的平均值为2.57E-01。爆破子任务后检查所有炮孔的全爆是最危险的任务,因为HEP值最高,为9.646E-01。另一方面,获得接收和运输材料的许可证是最可靠的任务,HEP为8.54E-04。

结论

结果表明所提出的技术具有良好的一致性。两种技术的比较证实,BWM通过进行基本比较使传统HEART更快、更可靠。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/51f8/9482046/8020be14ce4b/gr1.jpg

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