College of Mechanical and Electrical Engineering, Henan Technical Institute, Zhengzhou, Henan 450042, China.
Collegeof Chemical Engineering, Henan Technical Institute, Zhengzhou, Henan 450042, China.
Comput Intell Neurosci. 2022 Sep 20;2022:9350169. doi: 10.1155/2022/9350169. eCollection 2022.
Along with the increasing prominence of energy and environmental issues, solar energy has received more and more extensive attention from countries around the world, and the installed capacity of photovoltaic power generation, as one of the main forms of solar energy development, has developed rapidly. Solar energy is by far the largest available source of energy on Earth, the use of solar power photovoltaic system has the advantages of flexible installation, simple maintenance, environmentally friendly, etc., by the world's attention, especially the grid-connected photovoltaic power generation system has been rapid development. However, photovoltaic power generation itself is intermittent, affected by irradiance and other meteorological factors very drastically, and its own randomness and uncertainty are very large, and its grid connection affects the stability of the entire power grid. Therefore, the short-term prediction of photovoltaic power generation has important practical significance and guiding meaning. Multi-input deep convolutional neural networks belong to deep learning architectures, which use local connectivity, weight sharing, and subpolling operations, making it possible to reduce the number of weight parameters that need to be trained so that convolutional neural networks can perform well even with a large number of layers. In this paper, we propose a multi-input deep convolutional neural network model for PV short-term power prediction, which provides a short-term accurate prediction of PV power system output power, which is beneficial for the power system dispatching department to coordinate the cooperation between conventional power sources and PV power generation and reasonably adjust the dispatching plan, thus effectively mitigating the adverse effects of PV power system access on the power grid. Therefore, the accurate and reasonable prediction of PV power generation power is of great significance for the safe dispatch of power grid, maintaining the stable operation of power grid, and improving the utilization rate of PV power plants.
随着能源和环境问题的日益突出,太阳能受到了世界各国越来越多的关注,作为太阳能发展的主要形式之一,光伏发电的装机容量发展迅速。太阳能是迄今为止地球上最大的可用能源,太阳能光伏系统的使用具有安装灵活、维护简单、环保等优点,受到了世界的关注,特别是并网光伏发电系统得到了快速发展。然而,光伏发电本身具有间歇性,受辐照度等气象因素的影响非常大,其自身的随机性和不确定性很大,其并网会影响整个电网的稳定性。因此,对光伏发电进行短期预测具有重要的现实意义和指导意义。多输入深度卷积神经网络属于深度学习架构,它使用局部连接、权重共享和子抽样操作,使得可以减少需要训练的权重参数数量,从而使卷积神经网络即使具有大量层也能表现良好。在本文中,我们提出了一种用于光伏短期功率预测的多输入深度卷积神经网络模型,该模型为光伏系统输出功率提供了短期精确预测,这有利于调度部门协调常规电源和光伏发电之间的合作,合理调整调度计划,从而有效缓解光伏系统接入对电网的不利影响。因此,准确合理地预测光伏发电量对电网的安全调度、保持电网稳定运行、提高光伏电站的利用率具有重要意义。