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CatLet©血管造影评分系统对症状发作超过12小时的急性心肌梗死患者长期预后的预测价值。

The predictive value of CatLet© angiographic scoring system for long-term prognosis in patients with acute myocardial infarction presenting > 12 h after symptom onset.

作者信息

Wang Heng, He Yi, Fan Jia-Li, Li Xu, Zhou Bing-Yuan, Jiang Ting-Bo, He Yong-Ming

机构信息

Division of Cardiology, The First Affiliated Hospital of Soochow University, Suzhou, China.

出版信息

Front Cardiovasc Med. 2022 Sep 21;9:943229. doi: 10.3389/fcvm.2022.943229. eCollection 2022.

Abstract

BACKGROUND

We have recently developed the oronary rtery ree description and esion valua ion (CatLet©) angiographic scoring system, which is capable of accounting for the variability in coronary anatomy, and risk-stratifying patients with coronary artery disease. This study aimed to clarify whether the CatLet score had a predictive value for long-term prognosis in patients with acute myocardial infarction (AMI) presenting > 12 h after symptom onset.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

The CatLet score was calculated for 1,018 consecutively enrolled AMI patients, who were divided into 3 groups according to the CatLet score tertiles. The primary endpoint was major adverse cardiac events (MACEs), defined as a composite of myocardial infarction, cardiac death, and ischemia-driven revascularization; secondary endpoints were all-cause death, cardiac death, myocardial infarction, and ischemia-driven revascularization.

RESULTS

The CatLet score was capable of predicting long-term prognosis at a median 4.9-year follow-up alone or after adjustment for risk factors. Multivariable-adjusted hazard ratios (95% CI)/unit higher score were 1.06 (1.05-1.08) for MACEs, 1.05 (1.03-1.07) for all-cause death, 1.06 (1.04-1.09) for cardiac death, 1.06 (1.04-1.08) for myocardial infarction, and 1.06 (1.04-1.08) for revascularization. The univariate model showed good calibration (χ = 8.25, = 0.4091) and good discrimination (area under ROC curve = 0.7086) for MACEs.

CONCLUSION

The CatLet score is an independent predictor of long-term clinical outcomes of patients with AMI presenting > 12 h after symptom onset (http://www.chictr.org.cn; Registry Number: ChiCTR2000033730).

摘要

背景

我们最近开发了冠状动脉病变描述与评估(CatLet©)血管造影评分系统,该系统能够考虑冠状动脉解剖结构的变异性,并对冠心病患者进行风险分层。本研究旨在阐明CatLet评分对症状发作超过12小时的急性心肌梗死(AMI)患者的长期预后是否具有预测价值。

材料与方法

对连续纳入的1018例AMI患者计算CatLet评分,根据CatLet评分三分位数将患者分为3组。主要终点是主要不良心脏事件(MACE),定义为心肌梗死、心源性死亡和缺血驱动的血运重建的复合终点;次要终点是全因死亡、心源性死亡、心肌梗死和缺血驱动的心运重建。

结果

CatLet评分能够单独预测中位4.9年随访期的长期预后,或在调整危险因素后进行预测。多变量调整后的每增加1分的风险比(95%可信区间):MACE为1.06(1.05 - 1.08),全因死亡为1.05(1.03 - 1.07),心源性死亡为1.06(1.04 - 1.09),心肌梗死为1.06(1.04 - 1.08),血运重建为1.06(1.04 - 1.08)。单变量模型对MACE显示出良好的校准(χ² = 8.25,P = 0.4091)和良好的辨别力(ROC曲线下面积 = 0.7086)。

结论

CatLet评分是症状发作超过12小时的AMI患者长期临床结局的独立预测指标(http://www.chictr.org.cn;注册号:ChiCTR2000033730)。

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