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中国足球超级联赛传球影响因素分析

Analysis of influencing factors of passes in the chinese super league.

作者信息

Zeng Yue, Zhang Hui

机构信息

Department of Sport Science, College of Education, Zhejiang University, Hangzhou, China.

出版信息

BMC Sports Sci Med Rehabil. 2022 Oct 12;14(1):180. doi: 10.1186/s13102-022-00572-5.

Abstract

BACKGROUND

In football matches, passing is an important means of organizing attacks, creating shots, changing tactics, and achieving tactical objectives and is a frequently used technique. The purpose of the study was to explore the relevant factors that affect passes in the Chinese Super League (CSL) in different game contexts.

METHODS

A total of 1,440 matches (2,880 samples) of 24 teams participating in the CSL in the 2014-2019 seasons were selected as the research object, and a mixed linear model was constructed to analyse the influencing factors of passes.

RESULTS

(a) The passing success rate and the total number of forward passes were greatly affected by the stage of the season; (b) except for the passing success rate in the 30 m attack area, all other pass indicators in the home matches were significantly higher than those in the away matches; (c) the number of passes in the 30 m attack area was mainly affected by the team level (table position quartile); the higher the team level, the greater the number of passes in the 30 m attack area; (d) all passing indices for the matches between the first eight and the last eight were significantly greater than the matches between the first eight; (e) the passing success rate in the 30 m attack area in winning matches was higher than that in drawn matches; (f) the number of forward passes was significantly greater in matches won by two or more goals, and the number of defender passes was significantly greater in losing matches.

CONCLUSION

The various passing indices of the CSL were affected by different game contexts (including season stage, venue, team level, match type and match outcome), and understanding these influencing factors of passes will help coaches and players better understand football matches.

摘要

背景

在足球比赛中,传球是组织进攻、创造射门机会、改变战术以及实现战术目标的重要手段,也是一项常用技术。本研究旨在探讨不同比赛情境下影响中超联赛传球的相关因素。

方法

选取2014 - 2019赛季参加中超联赛的24支球队的1440场比赛(2880个样本)作为研究对象,构建混合线性模型分析传球的影响因素。

结果

(a)传球成功率和向前传球总数受赛季阶段影响较大;(b)除30米进攻区域的传球成功率外,主场比赛的其他所有传球指标均显著高于客场比赛;(c)30米进攻区域的传球次数主要受球队水平(联赛排名四分位数)影响;球队水平越高,30米进攻区域的传球次数越多;(d)前八名球队与后八名球队之间比赛的所有传球指标均显著高于前八名球队之间的比赛;(e)获胜比赛中30米进攻区域的传球成功率高于平局比赛;(f)净胜两球或以上的比赛中向前传球次数显著更多,输球比赛中后卫传球次数显著更多。

结论

中超联赛的各项传球指标受不同比赛情境(包括赛季阶段、比赛场地、球队水平、比赛类型和比赛结果)影响,了解这些传球的影响因素将有助于教练和球员更好地理解足球比赛。

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